How it finished
OFI Crete beat TSG Hoffenheim 2–0. Bawler's model favoured TSG Hoffenheim at 37% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave OFI Crete 36%. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. OFI Crete had 9 shots (3 on target) to TSG Hoffenheim's 21 (5), with 33% of the ball against 67%. On expected goals it was 1.2 to 1.5, so TSG Hoffenheim created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 74%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won OFI Crete vs TSG Hoffenheim?
OFI Crete beat TSG Hoffenheim 2–0. Bawler's model favoured TSG Hoffenheim at 37% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave OFI Crete 36%. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. OFI Crete had 9 shots (3 on target) to TSG Hoffenheim's 21 (5), with 33% of the ball against 67%. On expected goals it was 1.2 to 1.5, so TSG Hoffenheim created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in OFI Crete vs TSG Hoffenheim?
OFI Crete 2–0 TSG Hoffenheim, played on 17 Sept 2026 in the Europe: Europa League. Bawler's model had gone into it with OFI Crete 36%, the draw 27% and TSG Hoffenheim 37%.
What were the stats in OFI Crete vs TSG Hoffenheim?
Full-time: Possession 33%–67%, Expected goals (xG) 1.2–1.5, Shots 9–21, Shots on target 3–5, Shots inside box 5–13, Big chances 3–2, Corners 4–8, Saves 5–1, Fouls 8–23, Offsides 2–3, Yellow cards 2–3.
Did both teams score in OFI Crete vs TSG Hoffenheim?
No. It finished 2–0, so TSG Hoffenheim failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for OFI Crete vs TSG Hoffenheim right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said TSG Hoffenheim or draw 64%, it finished OFI Crete won (36% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said OFI Crete or draw 63%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 54%, it finished Missed.