Bawler / GERMANY: Bundesliga / Hoffenheim
Team profile

Hoffenheim Prediction

Per-game numbers from 34 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
14.1
a game
12.3 faced
On target
5.2
a game
4.4 faced
Goals
1.9 – 1.5
scored – conceded
a game, 34 matches
Corners
5.8
a game
4.8 against

Hoffenheim prediction: Bawler's model rates Hoffenheim at 1.71 expected goals scored and 1.75 conceded per match across 5 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 60% of the time. Their last 5 settled matches read 2W 1D 2L. No Hoffenheim fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Hoffenheim sit close to the Bundesliga average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.71 expected goals a game and conceding 1.75. Their finishing has lagged the chances they make — 1.20 goals a game against 1.71 expected. Across 5 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Hoffenheim have been correct 60% of the time.

Hoffenheim in numbers

34 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.9
Goals · per game
let in 1.5
Home 2.1Away 1.8
5.8
Corners · per game
give up 4.8
Home 6.4Away 5.2
14.1
Shots · per game
faced 12.3
Home 16.2Away 12.0
5.2
On target · per game
faced 4.4
Home 5.9Away 4.4
Last 6 games
16 May
0-4
@ Borussia Mönchengladbach
9-2
09 May
1-0
vs Werder Bremen
8-3
02 May
3-3
vs Stuttgart
4-5
25 Apr
2-1
@ Hamburger SV
9-4
18 Apr
2-1
vs Dortmund
4-3
10 Apr
2-2
@ Augsburg
4-4

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Attack vs defence

How Hoffenheim compare with the GERMANY: Bundesliga average, per match.

Goals for
1.71
Above average
Goals against
1.75
Leakier than most
Record
2W 1D 2L
5 settled
Real goals
1.2 – 2.6
For / against, per match
Scored1.71
Conceded1.75

The grey line on each bar is the GERMANY: Bundesliga average (1.67 scored, 1.69 conceded).

What the data says
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 75% of the time on Hoffenheim fixtures (3/4).

How Bawler has done on Hoffenheim

60%
of high-confidence calls correct — 3 of 5
Goals (Over/Under)75%3/4

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 5)

Transfer activity

INNathan De CatDMfrom Anderlecht€17m
INAdam DaghimRWfrom Salzburg€13m
INMats RotsLBfrom FC Twente€12m
INPatrick WimmerLWfrom Wolfsburg€10m
INCajetan LenzDMfrom Bochum€10m
INAlessandro VogtSTfrom St. Gallen€2.7m
INSean DulicCBfrom 1860 MünchenFree transfer
OUTBazoumana TouréLWto Newcastle United€50m
OUTGift OrbanSTto Amed SportifLoan
OUTMuhammed Mehmet DamarRMto Wolfsburg€5m
OUTHaris TabakovicSTto Salzburg€5m
OUTUmut TohumcuCMto SalzburgLoan
OUTHennes BehrensLBto Augsburg€3.5m
OUTLuca ErleinRBto Bayer Leverkusen€2m
OUTNahuel NollGKto PaderbornLoan

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

More on Hoffenheim and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly