USA: MLSWednesday 19 Aug, 23:30 UTC

Orlando City SC vChicago Fire FC

Most likely scoreline
1–1
10% of the time · 3.36 goals expected
Orlando City SC 33%Draw 25%Chicago Fire FC 42%
How we get there
Orlando City SCstepChicago Fire FC
1.58Base xG · rolling 26-match1.78
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.58Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.78

Early projection

These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.

Orlando City average 4.8 corners per game at home this season (23 competitive matches). Chicago Fire average 3.8 corners per game away from home this season (25 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
3
6
6
3
1
1
1
6
10
9
5
2
1
2
4
8
7
4
2
1
3
2
4
4
2
1
4
1
2
1
1
5
1
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Orlando City SC fixtures & form →Chicago Fire FC fixtures & form →

Orlando City vs Chicago Fire — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Orlando City and Chicago Fire — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Orlando City 33% · draw 25% · Chicago Fire 42%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

Orlando City predictions & form →Chicago Fire predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.