How it finished
Chicago Fire FC beat Orlando City SC 2–1. Bawler's model had Chicago Fire FC in front at 39% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals and the match produced 3. Orlando City SC had 16 shots (5 on target) to Chicago Fire FC's 7 (3), with 57% of the ball against 43%. On expected goals it was 1.9 to 1.4, so Orlando City SC created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Orlando City SC vs Chicago Fire FC?
Chicago Fire FC beat Orlando City SC 2–1. Bawler's model had Chicago Fire FC in front at 39% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals and the match produced 3. Orlando City SC had 16 shots (5 on target) to Chicago Fire FC's 7 (3), with 57% of the ball against 43%. On expected goals it was 1.9 to 1.4, so Orlando City SC created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Orlando City SC vs Chicago Fire FC?
Orlando City SC 1–2 Chicago Fire FC, played on 20 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Orlando City SC 37%, the draw 24% and Chicago Fire FC 39%.
What were the stats in Orlando City SC vs Chicago Fire FC?
Full-time: Possession 57%–43%, Expected goals (xG) 1.9–1.4, Shots 16–7, Shots on target 5–3, Corners 3–3, Saves 1–4, Fouls 15–11, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 2–2.
Did both teams score in Orlando City SC vs Chicago Fire FC?
Yes — both Orlando City SC and Chicago Fire FC scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 66% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Orlando City SC vs Chicago Fire FC right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Chicago Fire FC or draw 63%, it finished Chicago Fire FC won (39% called); Total goals — we said 3.4, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 66%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 85%, it finished Landed.