How it finished
Rangers beat Kilmarnock 3–1. Bawler's model had Rangers in front at 76% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.6 goals and the match produced 4. Rangers had 17 shots (4 on target) to Kilmarnock's 13 (6), with 60% of the ball against 40%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 1.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 79%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Rangers vs Kilmarnock?
Rangers beat Kilmarnock 3–1. Bawler's model had Rangers in front at 76% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.6 goals and the match produced 4. Rangers had 17 shots (4 on target) to Kilmarnock's 13 (6), with 60% of the ball against 40%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 1.2.
What was the final score in Rangers vs Kilmarnock?
Rangers 3–1 Kilmarnock, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the Scotland: Scottish Prem. Bawler's model had gone into it with Rangers 76%, the draw 15% and Kilmarnock 9%.
What were the stats in Rangers vs Kilmarnock?
Full-time: Possession 60%–40%, Expected goals (xG) 1.4–1.2, Shots 17–13, Shots on target 4–6, Shots inside box 11–11, Big chances 2–0, Corners 7–3, Saves 5–1, Fouls 15–13, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 1–1.
Did both teams score in Rangers vs Kilmarnock?
Yes — both Rangers and Kilmarnock scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Rangers vs Kilmarnock right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Rangers to win 76%, it finished Rangers won (76% called); Total goals — we said 3.6, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished Yes; Second pick — we said Both teams to score 54%, it finished Landed.