RB Leipzig beat Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–0. Bawler's model had RB Leipzig in front at 60% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals and the match produced 3. RB Leipzig had 25 shots (11 on target) to Borussia Mönchengladbach's 14 (4), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 3.9 to 0.9.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 75%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
RB Leipzig beat Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–0. Bawler's model had RB Leipzig in front at 60% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals and the match produced 3. RB Leipzig had 25 shots (11 on target) to Borussia Mönchengladbach's 14 (4), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 3.9 to 0.9.
RB Leipzig 3–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the Germany: Bundesliga. Bawler's model had gone into it with RB Leipzig 60%, the draw 22% and Borussia Mönchengladbach 18%.
Full-time: Possession 47%–53%, Expected goals (xG) 3.9–0.9, Shots 25–14, Shots on target 11–4, Shots inside box 19–9, Big chances 6–2, Corners 7–6, Saves 4–8, Fouls 10–13, Offsides 0–5, Yellow cards 1–0.
No. It finished 3–0, so Borussia Mönchengladbach failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said RB Leipzig to win 60%, it finished RB Leipzig won (60% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 59%, it finished No.