RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach prediction — Bundesliga · Sat 29 Aug · 14:30 UK

Bundesliga · Sat 29 Aug · 14:30 UK
RB Leipzig 60Draw 22Borussia Mönchengladbach 18
Our call before kickoff
60%
RB Leipzig to win
Landed
3.2
Goals expected
Full time
Final 3–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
75%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
59%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
62%

How it finished

RB Leipzig beat Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–0. Bawler's model had RB Leipzig in front at 60% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals and the match produced 3. RB Leipzig had 25 shots (11 on target) to Borussia Mönchengladbach's 14 (4), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 3.9 to 0.9.

RB LeipzigFull-time statsBorussia…
47%Possession53%
3.9Expected goals (xG)0.9
25Shots14
11Shots on target4
19Shots inside box9
6Big chances2
7Corners6
4Saves8
10Fouls13
0Offsides5
1Yellow cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callRB Leipzig to win 60%RB Leipzig won (60% called)
Total goals3.23
Both teams to score59%No

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

RB LeipzigBorussia Mönchengladbach
2.1
Goals+1.0
1.1
18.3
Shots+5.6
12.6
8.2
On target+3.8
4.4
6.6
Corners+1.7
4.9
RB LeipzigBorussia Mönchengladbach
0.6
Goals+0.3
0.3
8.4
Shots+2.8
5.5
4.0
On target+2.2
1.8
3.1
Corners+0.8
2.3
RB LeipzigBorussia Mönchengladbach
1.5
Goals+0.7
0.8
9.9
Shots+2.8
7.1
4.2
On target+1.6
2.6
3.5
Corners+0.9
2.6

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
RB Leipzig to score88%
Over 1.5 goals83%
Borussia Mönchengladbach to score66%
Over 2.5 goals62%

First half — what we expected

RB Leipzig
64%
to score before half-time
Borussia Mönchengladbach
30%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 75%

RB LeipzigBorussia Mönchengladbach
8.41st-half shots5.5
4.01st-half shots on target1.8
3.11st-half corners2.3

First-half chances

67%Chance of 7+ shots33%
44%Chance of 9+ shots16%
72%Chance of 3+ shots on target27%
37%Chance of 5+ shots on target<10%
77%Chance of 2+ corners62%
37%Chance of 4+ corners22%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · RB Leipzig8.49.9
Shots · Borussia Mönchengladbach5.57.1
Shots on target · RB Leipzig4.04.2
Shots on target · Borussia Mönchengladbach1.82.6
Corners · RB Leipzig3.13.5
Corners · Borussia Mönchengladbach2.32.6
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+1.0 / match
Borussia Mönchengladbach in their league tableBottom quarter
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?

RB Leipzig beat Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–0. Bawler's model had RB Leipzig in front at 60% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals and the match produced 3. RB Leipzig had 25 shots (11 on target) to Borussia Mönchengladbach's 14 (4), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 3.9 to 0.9.

What was the final score in RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?

RB Leipzig 3–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the Germany: Bundesliga. Bawler's model had gone into it with RB Leipzig 60%, the draw 22% and Borussia Mönchengladbach 18%.

What were the stats in RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?

Full-time: Possession 47%–53%, Expected goals (xG) 3.9–0.9, Shots 25–14, Shots on target 11–4, Shots inside box 19–9, Big chances 6–2, Corners 7–6, Saves 4–8, Fouls 10–13, Offsides 0–5, Yellow cards 1–0.

Did both teams score in RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?

No. It finished 3–0, so Borussia Mönchengladbach failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said RB Leipzig to win 60%, it finished RB Leipzig won (60% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 59%, it finished No.

Around this fixture

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