RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt prediction — Bundesliga · Sat 10 Oct · 17:30 UK

Bundesliga · Sat 10 Oct · 17:30 UK
RB Leipzig 63Draw 20Eintracht Frankfurt 17
Our call before kickoff
63%
RB Leipzig to win
Landed
3.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 6–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
83%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
62%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
68%

How it finished

RB Leipzig beat Eintracht Frankfurt 6–0. Bawler's model had RB Leipzig in front at 63% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals; the match produced 6. RB Leipzig had 20 shots (10 on target) to Eintracht Frankfurt's 18 (9), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 3.3 to 1.4.

RB LeipzigFull-time statsEintracht…
47%Possession53%
3.3Expected goals (xG)1.4
20Shots18
10Shots on target9
18Shots inside box16
8Big chances6
3Corners6
9Saves4
16Fouls13
1Offsides2
1Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callRB Leipzig to win 63%RB Leipzig won (63% called)
Total goals3.56
Both teams to score62%No

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

RB LeipzigEintracht Frankfurt
2.4
Goals+1.2
1.2
26.3
Shots+14.3
11.9
9.7
On target+4.6
5.1
9.8
Corners+4.7
5.2
RB LeipzigEintracht Frankfurt
0.7
Goals+0.2
0.5
12.0
Shots+6.8
5.2
4.6
On target+2.3
2.3
4.6
Corners+2.2
2.4
RB LeipzigEintracht Frankfurt
1.7
Goals+1.0
0.7
14.3
Shots+7.6
6.7
5.0
On target+2.2
2.8
5.2
Corners+2.5
2.7

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
RB Leipzig to score91%
Over 1.5 goals87%
Eintracht Frankfurt to score69%
Over 2.5 goals68%

First half — what we expected

RB Leipzig
66%
to score before half-time
Eintracht Frankfurt
49%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 83%

RB LeipzigEintracht Frankfurt
12.01st-half shots5.2
4.61st-half shots on target2.3
4.61st-half corners2.4

First-half chances

60%Chance of 11+ shots<10%
42%Chance of 13+ shots<10%
64%Chance of 4+ shots on target22%
32%Chance of 6+ shots on target<10%
63%Chance of 4+ corners24%
33%Chance of 6+ corners<10%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · RB Leipzig12.014.3
Shots · Eintracht Frankfurt5.26.7
Shots on target · RB Leipzig4.65.0
Shots on target · Eintracht Frankfurt2.32.8
Corners · RB Leipzig4.65.2
Corners · Eintracht Frankfurt2.42.7
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

RB Leipzig form (last 6)W L L W L W
Expected goals gap (home minus away)+1.2 / match
Head-to-head, last 5RB Leipzig 4 · Draws 0 · Eintracht Frankfurt 1
Eintracht Frankfurt in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

Apr 2026Eintracht Frankfurt 1–3 RB Leipzig
Dec 2025RB Leipzig 6–0 Eintracht Frankfurt
Apr 2025Eintracht Frankfurt 4–0 RB Leipzig
Dec 2024RB Leipzig 2–1 Eintracht Frankfurt
Dec 2024RB Leipzig 3–0 Eintracht Frankfurt
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

RB Leipzig beat Eintracht Frankfurt 6–0. Bawler's model had RB Leipzig in front at 63% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.5 goals; the match produced 6. RB Leipzig had 20 shots (10 on target) to Eintracht Frankfurt's 18 (9), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 3.3 to 1.4.

What was the final score in RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

RB Leipzig 6–0 Eintracht Frankfurt, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the Germany: Bundesliga. Bawler's model had gone into it with RB Leipzig 63%, the draw 20% and Eintracht Frankfurt 17%.

What were the stats in RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

Full-time: Possession 47%–53%, Expected goals (xG) 3.3–1.4, Shots 20–18, Shots on target 10–9, Shots inside box 18–16, Big chances 8–6, Corners 3–6, Saves 9–4, Fouls 16–13, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 1–3.

Did both teams score in RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

No. It finished 6–0, so Eintracht Frankfurt failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 62% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said RB Leipzig to win 63%, it finished RB Leipzig won (63% called); Total goals — we said 3.5, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 62%, it finished No.

Around this fixture

Bundesliga table →
All fixtures & results →RB Leipzig form →Eintracht Frankfurt form →