How it finished
Real Madrid beat Málaga 4–0. Bawler's model had Real Madrid in front at 74% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals and the match produced 4. Real Madrid had 19 shots (8 on target) to Málaga's 14 (1), with 57% of the ball against 43%. Expected goals finished 2.4 to 0.7.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 78%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Real Madrid vs Málaga?
Real Madrid beat Málaga 4–0. Bawler's model had Real Madrid in front at 74% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals and the match produced 4. Real Madrid had 19 shots (8 on target) to Málaga's 14 (1), with 57% of the ball against 43%. Expected goals finished 2.4 to 0.7.
What was the final score in Real Madrid vs Málaga?
Real Madrid 4–0 Málaga, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the SPAIN: LaLiga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Real Madrid 74%, the draw 16% and Málaga 10%.
What were the stats in Real Madrid vs Málaga?
Full-time: Possession 57%–43%, Expected goals (xG) 2.4–0.7, Shots 19–14, Shots on target 8–1, Shots inside box 14–6, Big chances 4–0, Corners 9–6, Saves 1–4, Fouls 6–9, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 0–2.
Did both teams score in Real Madrid vs Málaga?
No. It finished 4–0, so Málaga failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 52% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Real Madrid vs Málaga right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Real Madrid to win 74%, it finished Real Madrid won (74% called); Total goals — we said 3.4, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 52%, it finished No.