How it finished
FC Dallas beat Real Salt Lake 4–3. Bawler's model favoured Real Salt Lake at 41% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave FC Dallas 33%. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 7. Real Salt Lake had 14 shots (7 on target) to FC Dallas' 13 (5), with 59% of the ball against 41%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 1.9.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas?
FC Dallas beat Real Salt Lake 4–3. Bawler's model favoured Real Salt Lake at 41% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave FC Dallas 33%. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 7. Real Salt Lake had 14 shots (7 on target) to FC Dallas' 13 (5), with 59% of the ball against 41%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 1.9.
What was the final score in Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas?
Real Salt Lake 3–4 FC Dallas, played on 20 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Real Salt Lake 41%, the draw 26% and FC Dallas 33%.
What were the stats in Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas?
Full-time: Possession 59%–41%, Expected goals (xG) 1.7–1.9, Shots 14–13, Shots on target 7–5, Shots inside box 9–7, Big chances 7–2, Corners 6–3, Saves 1–4, Fouls 11–13, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 3–3.
Did both teams score in Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas?
Yes — both Real Salt Lake and FC Dallas scored, finishing 3–4. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Real Salt Lake or draw 67%, it finished FC Dallas won (33% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 7; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 79%, it finished Landed.