USA: MLSThursday 20 Aug, 01:30 UTC

Real Salt Lake vFC Dallas

Most likely scoreline
1–1
11% of the time · 2.88 goals expected
Real Salt Lake 48%Draw 26%FC Dallas 26%
How we get there
Real Salt LakestepFC Dallas
1.61Base xG · rolling 26-match1.26
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.61Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.26

Early projection

These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.

Real Salt Lake average 5.1 corners per game at home this season (23 competitive matches). Dallas average 3.8 corners per game away from home this season (26 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
6
7
5
2
1
1
9
11
7
3
1
2
7
9
6
2
1
3
4
5
3
1
4
2
2
1
1
5
1
1
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Real Salt Lake fixtures & form →FC Dallas fixtures & form →

Real Salt Lake vs Dallas — Head-to-Head

In 1 recorded meeting since 10 May 2026, Real Salt Lake have won 0, Dallas have won 1, with 0 drawn. This covers only matches in Bawler's own settled ledger — not an all-time head-to-head record.

DateResultCompetition
10 May 2026Dallas 3–1 Real Salt LakeUSA: MLS

The model's verdict for this fixture: Real Salt Lake 48% · draw 26% · Dallas 26%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

Real Salt Lake predictions & form →Dallas predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.