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Real Sociedad vs Deportivo prediction — LaLiga · Sun 11 Oct · 15:15 UK

LaLiga · Sun 11 Oct · 15:15 UK
Real Sociedad 49Draw 25Deportivo 26
Our call before kickoff
74%
Real Sociedad or draw
Landed
3.0
Goals expected
Full time
Final 3–2
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
71%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
60%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
59%

How it finished

Real Sociedad beat Deportivo 3–2. Bawler's model had Real Sociedad in front at 49% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 5.

What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callReal Sociedad or draw 74%Real Sociedad won (49% called)
Total goals3.05
Both teams to score60%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 81%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Real SociedadDeportivo
1.8
Goals+0.5
1.3
14.8
Shots+2.1
12.7
5.2
On target+0.2
5.4
7.1
Corners+2.8
4.3
Real SociedadDeportivo
0.5
Goals+0.1
0.4
6.6
Shots+0.8
5.8
2.3
On target+0.1
2.4
3.4
Corners+1.3
2.0
Real SociedadDeportivo
1.3
Goals+0.5
0.8
8.2
Shots+1.3
6.9
2.9
On target+0.1
3.0
3.8
Corners+1.5
2.3

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Real Sociedad to score83%
Over 1.5 goals81%
Deportivo to score72%
Under 3.5 goals64%

First half — what we expected

Real Sociedad
49%
to score before half-time
Deportivo
43%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 71%

Real SociedadDeportivo
6.61st-half shots5.8
2.31st-half shots on target2.4
3.41st-half corners2.0

First-half chances

59%Chance of 6+ shots49%
35%Chance of 8+ shots26%
87%Chance of 1+ shots on target88%
39%Chance of 3+ shots on target42%
80%Chance of 2+ corners55%
42%Chance of 4+ corners17%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Real Sociedad6.68.2
Shots · Deportivo5.86.9
Shots on target · Real Sociedad2.32.9
Shots on target · Deportivo2.43.0
Corners · Real Sociedad3.43.8
Corners · Deportivo2.02.3
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Real Sociedad form (last 6)D W L L W W
Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.5 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Real Sociedad 3 · Draws 1 · Deportivo 1
Deportivo in their league tableUpper half

Head to head

Feb 2018Real Sociedad 5–0 Deportivo A Coruña
Sept 2017Deportivo A Coruña 2–4 Real Sociedad
Apr 2017Real Sociedad 1–0 Deportivo A Coruña
Dec 2016Deportivo A Coruña 5–1 Real Sociedad
Jan 2016Real Sociedad 1–1 Deportivo A Coruña
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Real Sociedad vs Deportivo?

Real Sociedad beat Deportivo 3–2. Bawler's model had Real Sociedad in front at 49% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 5.

What was the final score in Real Sociedad vs Deportivo?

Real Sociedad 3–2 Deportivo, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the Spain: La Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Real Sociedad 49%, the draw 25% and Deportivo 26%.

Did both teams score in Real Sociedad vs Deportivo?

Yes — both Real Sociedad and Deportivo scored, finishing 3–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Real Sociedad vs Deportivo right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Real Sociedad or draw 74%, it finished Real Sociedad won (49% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 60%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 81%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

LaLiga table →
All fixtures & results →Real Sociedad form →Deportivo form →