USA: MLSWednesday 19 Aug, 23:30 UTC

Red Bull New York vNashville SC

Most likely scoreline
1–1
10% of the time · 3.20 goals expected
Red Bull New York 37%Draw 29%Nashville SC 34%
How we get there
Red Bull New YorkstepNashville SC
1.64Base xG · rolling 26-match1.56
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.64Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.56

Early projection

These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.

New York Red Bulls average 4.6 corners per game at home this season (23 competitive matches). Nashville average 4.7 corners per game away from home this season (26 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
4
6
5
3
1
1
7
10
8
4
2
1
2
5
9
7
3
1
3
3
5
4
2
1
4
1
2
1
1
5
1
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Red Bull New York fixtures & form →Nashville SC fixtures & form →

New York Red Bulls vs Nashville — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between New York Red Bulls and Nashville — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: New York Red Bulls 37% · draw 29% · Nashville 34%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

New York Red Bulls predictions & form →Nashville predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.