How it finished
Nashville SC beat Red Bull New York 1–0. Bawler's model had Nashville SC in front at 42% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 1 was scored. Red Bull New York had 13 shots (1 on target) to Nashville SC's 11 (3), with 54% of the ball against 46%. On expected goals it was 1.6 to 1.3, so Red Bull New York created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Red Bull New York vs Nashville SC?
Nashville SC beat Red Bull New York 1–0. Bawler's model had Nashville SC in front at 42% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 1 was scored. Red Bull New York had 13 shots (1 on target) to Nashville SC's 11 (3), with 54% of the ball against 46%. On expected goals it was 1.6 to 1.3, so Red Bull New York created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Red Bull New York vs Nashville SC?
Red Bull New York 0–1 Nashville SC, played on 20 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Red Bull New York 33%, the draw 25% and Nashville SC 42%.
What were the stats in Red Bull New York vs Nashville SC?
Full-time: Possession 54%–46%, Expected goals (xG) 1.6–1.3, Shots 13–11, Shots on target 1–3, Shots inside box 11–7, Big chances 3–2, Corners 7–10, Saves 2–1, Fouls 4–12, Offsides 0–5, Yellow cards 1–2.
Did both teams score in Red Bull New York vs Nashville SC?
No. It finished 0–1, so Red Bull New York failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 61% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Red Bull New York vs Nashville SC right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Nashville SC or draw 67%, it finished Nashville SC won (42% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 61%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 81%, it finished Missed.