How it finished
Union St.-Gilloise beat Royal Charleroi SC 3–2. Bawler's model had Union St.-Gilloise in front at 39% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals; the match produced 5. Royal Charleroi SC had 20 shots (5 on target) to Union St.-Gilloise's 17 (7), with 59% of the ball against 41%. On expected goals it was 2.2 to 1.2, so Royal Charleroi SC created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 69%
Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Royal Charleroi SC vs Union St.-Gilloise?
Union St.-Gilloise beat Royal Charleroi SC 3–2. Bawler's model had Union St.-Gilloise in front at 39% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals; the match produced 5. Royal Charleroi SC had 20 shots (5 on target) to Union St.-Gilloise's 17 (7), with 59% of the ball against 41%. On expected goals it was 2.2 to 1.2, so Royal Charleroi SC created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Royal Charleroi SC vs Union St.-Gilloise?
Royal Charleroi SC 2–3 Union St.-Gilloise, played on 05 Sept 2026 in the Belgium: Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Royal Charleroi SC 34%, the draw 28% and Union St.-Gilloise 39%.
What were the stats in Royal Charleroi SC vs Union St.-Gilloise?
Full-time: Possession 59%–41%, Expected goals (xG) 2.2–1.2, Shots 20–17, Shots on target 5–7, Shots inside box 16–12, Big chances 2–1, Corners 5–6, Saves 5–3, Fouls 12–17, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 1–2.
Did both teams score in Royal Charleroi SC vs Union St.-Gilloise?
Yes — both Royal Charleroi SC and Union St.-Gilloise scored, finishing 2–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Royal Charleroi SC vs Union St.-Gilloise right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Union St.-Gilloise or draw 66%, it finished Union St.-Gilloise won (39% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 74%, it finished Landed.