How it finished
SC Freiburg beat Schalke 04 2–1. Bawler's model had SC Freiburg in front at 62% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. SC Freiburg had 10 shots (4 on target) to Schalke 04's 5 (1), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 0.3.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 74%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won SC Freiburg vs Schalke 04?
SC Freiburg beat Schalke 04 2–1. Bawler's model had SC Freiburg in front at 62% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. SC Freiburg had 10 shots (4 on target) to Schalke 04's 5 (1), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 0.3.
What was the final score in SC Freiburg vs Schalke 04?
SC Freiburg 2–1 Schalke 04, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the Germany: Bundesliga. Bawler's model had gone into it with SC Freiburg 62%, the draw 22% and Schalke 04 16%.
What were the stats in SC Freiburg vs Schalke 04?
Full-time: Possession 51%–49%, Expected goals (xG) 1.0–0.3, Shots 10–5, Shots on target 4–1, Shots inside box 7–5, Big chances 3–0, Corners 7–2, Saves 0–3, Fouls 11–13, Offsides 0–5, Yellow cards 3–1, Red cards 1–0.
Did both teams score in SC Freiburg vs Schalke 04?
Yes — both SC Freiburg and Schalke 04 scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for SC Freiburg vs Schalke 04 right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said SC Freiburg to win 62%, it finished SC Freiburg won (62% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished Yes; Second pick — we said Both teams to score 53%, it finished Landed.