SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart prediction — Bundesliga · Sat 10 Oct · 14:30 UK

Bundesliga · Sat 10 Oct · 14:30 UK
SC Paderborn 07 29Draw 25VfB Stuttgart 46
Our call before kickoff
71%
VfB Stuttgart or draw
Landed
3.0
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–2
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
74%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
60%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
59%

How it finished

VfB Stuttgart beat SC Paderborn 07 2–0. Bawler's model had VfB Stuttgart in front at 46% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 2 were scored. SC Paderborn 07 had 23 shots (5 on target) to VfB Stuttgart's 18 (8), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 2.4.

Paderborn 07Full-time statsVfB Stuttgart
52%Possession48%
1.8Expected goals (xG)2.4
23Shots18
5Shots on target8
15Shots inside box16
3Big chances5
7Corners5
5Saves3
10Fouls11
1Offsides1
1Yellow cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callVfB Stuttgart or draw 71%VfB Stuttgart won (46% called)
Total goals3.02
Both teams to score60%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 81%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

SC Paderborn 07VfB Stuttgart
1.3
Goals+0.4
1.7
21.1
Shots+1.6
19.5
3.1
On target+3.1
6.1
6.4
Corners+1.0
7.3
SC Paderborn 07VfB Stuttgart
0.4
Goals+0.1
0.5
9.6
Shots+0.8
8.8
1.4
On target+1.5
2.9
3.0
Corners+0.5
3.4
SC Paderborn 07VfB Stuttgart
0.9
Goals+0.3
1.2
11.5
Shots+0.8
10.7
1.7
On target+1.5
3.2
3.4
Corners+0.5
3.9

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
VfB Stuttgart to score82%
Over 1.5 goals81%
SC Paderborn 07 to score73%
Under 3.5 goals64%

First half — what we expected

SC Paderborn 07
44%
to score before half-time
VfB Stuttgart
54%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 74%

SC Paderborn 07VfB Stuttgart
9.61st-half shots8.8
1.41st-half shots on target2.9
3.01st-half corners3.4

First-half chances

58%Chance of 9+ shots50%
37%Chance of 11+ shots30%
39%Chance of 2+ shots on target74%
<10%Chance of 4+ shots on target33%
75%Chance of 2+ corners81%
35%Chance of 4+ corners44%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · SC Paderborn 079.611.5
Shots · VfB Stuttgart8.810.7
Shots on target · SC Paderborn 071.41.7
Shots on target · VfB Stuttgart2.93.2
Corners · SC Paderborn 073.03.4
Corners · VfB Stuttgart3.43.9
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)-0.4 / match
VfB Stuttgart in their league tableLower half

Head to head

Jan 2023Paderborn 1–2 VfB Stuttgart
May 2015Paderborn 1–2 VfB Stuttgart
Dec 2014VfB Stuttgart 0–0 Paderborn
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart?

VfB Stuttgart beat SC Paderborn 07 2–0. Bawler's model had VfB Stuttgart in front at 46% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 2 were scored. SC Paderborn 07 had 23 shots (5 on target) to VfB Stuttgart's 18 (8), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 2.4.

What was the final score in SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart?

SC Paderborn 07 0–2 VfB Stuttgart, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the Germany: Bundesliga. Bawler's model had gone into it with SC Paderborn 07 29%, the draw 25% and VfB Stuttgart 46%.

What were the stats in SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart?

Full-time: Possession 52%–48%, Expected goals (xG) 1.8–2.4, Shots 23–18, Shots on target 5–8, Shots inside box 15–16, Big chances 3–5, Corners 7–5, Saves 5–3, Fouls 10–11, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 1–0.

Did both teams score in SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart?

No. It finished 0–2, so SC Paderborn 07 failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said VfB Stuttgart or draw 71%, it finished VfB Stuttgart won (46% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 60%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 81%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Bundesliga table →
All fixtures & results →SC Paderborn 07 form →VfB Stuttgart form →