Schalke 04 vs SV Elversberg prediction — Bundesliga · Sun 20 Sept · 16:30 UK

Bundesliga · Sun 20 Sept · 16:30 UK
Schalke 04 40Draw 24SV Elversberg 36
Our call before kickoff
64%
Schalke 04 or draw
Landed
3.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
78%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
68%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
67%

How it finished

Schalke 04 and SV Elversberg drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Schalke 04 at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 3.5 goals; nobody scored. Schalke 04 had 13 shots (1 on target) to SV Elversberg's 11 (1), with 40% of the ball against 60%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 1.0.

Schalke 04Full-time statsSV Elversberg
40%Possession60%
1.2Expected goals (xG)1.0
13Shots11
1Shots on target1
11Shots inside box6
1Big chances1
4Corners4
1Saves2
10Fouls10
2Offsides2
1Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callSchalke 04 or draw 64%Draw (24% called)
Total goals3.50
Both teams to score68%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 86%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Schalke 04SV Elversberg
1.8
Goals+0.1
1.7
12.0
Shots+1.0
11.0
5.2
On target+0.4
5.6
2.7
Corners+1.0
3.8
Schalke 04SV Elversberg
0.5
Goals
0.5
5.5
Shots+0.5
5.0
2.4
On target+0.2
2.5
1.3
Corners+0.5
1.8
Schalke 04SV Elversberg
1.2
Goals+0.1
1.2
6.5
Shots+0.5
6.0
2.9
On target+0.2
3.1
1.4
Corners+0.5
2.0

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals86%
Schalke 04 to score83%
SV Elversberg to score82%
Over 2.5 goals67%

First half — what we expected

Schalke 04
54%
to score before half-time
SV Elversberg
53%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 78%

Schalke 04SV Elversberg
5.51st-half shots5.0
2.41st-half shots on target2.5
1.31st-half corners1.8

First-half chances

73%Chance of 4+ shots67%
45%Chance of 6+ shots38%
64%Chance of 2+ shots on target68%
23%Chance of 4+ shots on target26%
66%Chance of 1+ corners77%
16%Chance of 3+ corners27%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Schalke 045.56.5
Shots · SV Elversberg5.06.0
Shots on target · Schalke 042.42.9
Shots on target · SV Elversberg2.53.1
Corners · Schalke 041.31.4
Corners · SV Elversberg1.82.0
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.1 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Schalke 04 3 · Draws 1 · SV Elversberg 1
SV Elversberg in their league tableUpper half

Head to head

Apr 2026Elversberg 1–2 Schalke 04
Nov 2025Schalke 04 1–0 Elversberg
May 2025Schalke 04 1–2 Elversberg
Dec 2024Elversberg 1–4 Schalke 04
Apr 2024Elversberg 1–1 Schalke 04
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Schalke 04 vs SV Elversberg?

Schalke 04 and SV Elversberg drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Schalke 04 at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 3.5 goals; nobody scored. Schalke 04 had 13 shots (1 on target) to SV Elversberg's 11 (1), with 40% of the ball against 60%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 1.0.

What was the final score in Schalke 04 vs SV Elversberg?

Schalke 04 0–0 SV Elversberg, played on 20 Sept 2026 in the Germany: Bundesliga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Schalke 04 40%, the draw 24% and SV Elversberg 36%.

What were the stats in Schalke 04 vs SV Elversberg?

Full-time: Possession 40%–60%, Expected goals (xG) 1.2–1.0, Shots 13–11, Shots on target 1–1, Shots inside box 11–6, Big chances 1–1, Corners 4–4, Saves 1–2, Fouls 10–10, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 1–2.

Did both teams score in Schalke 04 vs SV Elversberg?

No. It finished 0–0, so Schalke 04 failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 68% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Schalke 04 vs SV Elversberg right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Schalke 04 or draw 64%, it finished Draw (24% called); Total goals — we said 3.5, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 68%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 86%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

Bundesliga table →
All fixtures & results →Schalke 04 form →SV Elversberg form →