How it finished
Seattle Sounders FC beat Minnesota United FC 3–1. Bawler's model had Seattle Sounders FC in front at 49% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 4. Seattle Sounders FC had 13 shots (8 on target) to Minnesota United FC's 14 (2), with 55% of the ball against 45%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 1.8.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 76%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Seattle Sounders FC vs Minnesota United FC?
Seattle Sounders FC beat Minnesota United FC 3–1. Bawler's model had Seattle Sounders FC in front at 49% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 4. Seattle Sounders FC had 13 shots (8 on target) to Minnesota United FC's 14 (2), with 55% of the ball against 45%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 1.8.
What was the final score in Seattle Sounders FC vs Minnesota United FC?
Seattle Sounders FC 3–1 Minnesota United FC, played on 27 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Seattle Sounders FC 49%, the draw 24% and Minnesota United FC 27%.
What were the stats in Seattle Sounders FC vs Minnesota United FC?
Full-time: Possession 55%–45%, Expected goals (xG) 1.9–1.8, Shots 13–14, Shots on target 8–2, Shots inside box 10–10, Big chances 5–1, Corners 5–7, Saves 0–5, Fouls 12–6, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 2–2.
Did both teams score in Seattle Sounders FC vs Minnesota United FC?
Yes — both Seattle Sounders FC and Minnesota United FC scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 61% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Seattle Sounders FC vs Minnesota United FC right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Seattle Sounders FC or draw 73%, it finished Seattle Sounders FC won (49% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 61%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 82%, it finished Landed.