How it finished
Seattle Sounders FC beat Sporting Kansas City 2–1. Bawler's model had Seattle Sounders FC in front at 65% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 3. Seattle Sounders FC had 21 shots (7 on target) to Sporting Kansas City's 22 (11), with 59% of the ball against 41%. On expected goals it was 1.7 to 2.0, so Sporting Kansas City created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 78%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Seattle Sounders FC vs Sporting Kansas City?
Seattle Sounders FC beat Sporting Kansas City 2–1. Bawler's model had Seattle Sounders FC in front at 65% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 3. Seattle Sounders FC had 21 shots (7 on target) to Sporting Kansas City's 22 (11), with 59% of the ball against 41%. On expected goals it was 1.7 to 2.0, so Sporting Kansas City created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Seattle Sounders FC vs Sporting Kansas City?
Seattle Sounders FC 2–1 Sporting Kansas City, played on 02 Oct 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Seattle Sounders FC 65%, the draw 20% and Sporting Kansas City 15%.
What were the stats in Seattle Sounders FC vs Sporting Kansas City?
Full-time: Possession 59%–41%, Expected goals (xG) 1.7–2.0, Shots 21–22, Shots on target 7–11, Shots inside box 14–11, Big chances 2–2, Corners 11–6, Saves 9–5, Fouls 7–4, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 1–0.
Did both teams score in Seattle Sounders FC vs Sporting Kansas City?
Yes — both Seattle Sounders FC and Sporting Kansas City scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Seattle Sounders FC vs Sporting Kansas City right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Seattle Sounders FC to win 65%, it finished Seattle Sounders FC won (65% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished Yes.