How it finished
Solomon Islands and Vanuatu drew 3–3. Bawler's model favoured Vanuatu at 57% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 21%. It forecast 3.5 goals; the match produced 6. Solomon Islands had 13 shots (6 on target) to Vanuatu's 16 (12), with 58% of the ball against 42%.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 78%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Solomon Islands vs Vanuatu?
Solomon Islands and Vanuatu drew 3–3. Bawler's model favoured Vanuatu at 57% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 21%. It forecast 3.5 goals; the match produced 6. Solomon Islands had 13 shots (6 on target) to Vanuatu's 16 (12), with 58% of the ball against 42%.
What was the final score in Solomon Islands vs Vanuatu?
Solomon Islands 3–3 Vanuatu, played on 24 Sept 2026 in the World: International Friendly. Bawler's model had gone into it with Solomon Islands 21%, the draw 21% and Vanuatu 57%.
What were the stats in Solomon Islands vs Vanuatu?
Full-time: Possession 58%–42%, Shots 13–16, Shots on target 6–12, Corners 4–4, Yellow cards 2–4.
Did both teams score in Solomon Islands vs Vanuatu?
Yes — both Solomon Islands and Vanuatu scored, finishing 3–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 64% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Solomon Islands vs Vanuatu right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Vanuatu or draw 79%, it finished Draw (21% called); Total goals — we said 3.5, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 64%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 86%, it finished Landed.