How it finished
Sporting CP beat Vitória de Guimaraes 3–2. Bawler's model had Sporting CP in front at 61% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 5. Sporting CP had 5 shots (3 on target) to Vitória de Guimaraes' 12 (3), with 56% of the ball against 44%. On expected goals it was 1.1 to 1.1, so Vitória de Guimaraes created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Sporting CP vs Vitória de Guimaraes?
Sporting CP beat Vitória de Guimaraes 3–2. Bawler's model had Sporting CP in front at 61% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 5. Sporting CP had 5 shots (3 on target) to Vitória de Guimaraes' 12 (3), with 56% of the ball against 44%. On expected goals it was 1.1 to 1.1, so Vitória de Guimaraes created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Sporting CP vs Vitória de Guimaraes?
Sporting CP 3–2 Vitória de Guimaraes, played on 14 Aug 2026 in the PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal. Bawler's model had gone into it with Sporting CP 61%, the draw 25% and Vitória de Guimaraes 14%.
What were the stats in Sporting CP vs Vitória de Guimaraes?
Full-time: Possession 56%–44%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–1.1, Shots 5–12, Shots on target 3–3, Shots inside box 3–11, Big chances 2–3, Corners 5–1, Saves 1–0, Fouls 12–21, Offsides 2–0, Yellow cards 4–4.
Did both teams score in Sporting CP vs Vitória de Guimaraes?
Yes — both Sporting CP and Vitória de Guimaraes scored, finishing 3–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 51% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Sporting CP vs Vitória de Guimaraes right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Sporting CP to win 61%, it finished Sporting CP won (61% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 51%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 85%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Not both teams to score 52%, it finished Missed.