How it finished
Sporting Kansas City and Portland Timbers drew 3–3. Bawler's model favoured Portland Timbers at 43% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 3.3 goals; the match produced 6. Sporting Kansas City had 12 shots (5 on target) to Portland Timbers' 9 (5), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 1.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 77%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers?
Sporting Kansas City and Portland Timbers drew 3–3. Bawler's model favoured Portland Timbers at 43% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 3.3 goals; the match produced 6. Sporting Kansas City had 12 shots (5 on target) to Portland Timbers' 9 (5), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 1.4.
What was the final score in Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers?
Sporting Kansas City 3–3 Portland Timbers, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Sporting Kansas City 33%, the draw 24% and Portland Timbers 43%.
What were the stats in Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers?
Full-time: Possession 46%–54%, Expected goals (xG) 1.8–1.4, Shots 12–9, Shots on target 5–5, Shots inside box 8–4, Big chances 3–3, Corners 6–1, Saves 2–2, Fouls 17–9, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 0–1.
Did both teams score in Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers?
Yes — both Sporting Kansas City and Portland Timbers scored, finishing 3–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 65% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Portland Timbers or draw 67%, it finished Draw (24% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 65%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 84%, it finished Landed.