How it finished
St Johnstone and Falkirk drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured St Johnstone at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 2. St Johnstone had 8 shots (5 on target) to Falkirk's 12 (4), with 44% of the ball against 56%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 0.9.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 63%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won St Johnstone vs Falkirk?
St Johnstone and Falkirk drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured St Johnstone at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 2. St Johnstone had 8 shots (5 on target) to Falkirk's 12 (4), with 44% of the ball against 56%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 0.9.
What was the final score in St Johnstone vs Falkirk?
St Johnstone 1–1 Falkirk, played on 19 Sept 2026 in the Scotland: Scottish Prem. Bawler's model had gone into it with St Johnstone 40%, the draw 27% and Falkirk 32%.
What were the stats in St Johnstone vs Falkirk?
Full-time: Possession 44%–56%, Expected goals (xG) 0.7–0.9, Shots 8–12, Shots on target 5–4, Shots inside box 4–9, Big chances 1–1, Corners 3–8, Saves 3–4, Fouls 13–18, Offsides 0–0, Yellow cards 4–0, Red cards 1–0.
Did both teams score in St Johnstone vs Falkirk?
Yes — both St Johnstone and Falkirk scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for St Johnstone vs Falkirk right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said St Johnstone or draw 68%, it finished Draw (27% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 75%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 51%, it finished Missed.