How it finished
Swansea City beat Stoke City 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Stoke City at 44% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Swansea City 22%. It forecast 2.3 goals and the match produced 3. Stoke City had 6 shots (2 on target) to Swansea City's 7 (3), with 41% of the ball against 59%. On expected goals it was 0.7 to 0.6, so Stoke City created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Stoke City vs Swansea City?
Swansea City beat Stoke City 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Stoke City at 44% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Swansea City 22%. It forecast 2.3 goals and the match produced 3. Stoke City had 6 shots (2 on target) to Swansea City's 7 (3), with 41% of the ball against 59%. On expected goals it was 0.7 to 0.6, so Stoke City created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Stoke City vs Swansea City?
Stoke City 1–2 Swansea City, played on 15 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Stoke City 44%, the draw 34% and Swansea City 22%.
What were the stats in Stoke City vs Swansea City?
Full-time: Possession 41%–59%, Expected goals (xG) 0.7–0.6, Shots 6–7, Shots on target 2–3, Shots inside box 6–5, Big chances 0–2, Corners 4–5, Saves 1–1, Fouls 14–9, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 1–3.
Did both teams score in Stoke City vs Swansea City?
Yes — both Stoke City and Swansea City scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 45% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Stoke City vs Swansea City right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Stoke City or draw 78%, it finished Swansea City won (22% called); Total goals — we said 2.3, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 45%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 70%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Under 2.5 goals 52%, it finished Missed.