How it finished
SV ELVERSBERG beat Bayer Leverkusen 3–2. Bawler's model favoured Bayer Leverkusen at 52% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave SV ELVERSBERG 25%. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 5. SV ELVERSBERG had 11 shots (6 on target) to Bayer Leverkusen's 21 (4), with 33% of the ball against 67%. On expected goals it was 1.1 to 2.0, so Bayer Leverkusen created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 82%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won SV ELVERSBERG vs Bayer Leverkusen?
SV ELVERSBERG beat Bayer Leverkusen 3–2. Bawler's model favoured Bayer Leverkusen at 52% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave SV ELVERSBERG 25%. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 5. SV ELVERSBERG had 11 shots (6 on target) to Bayer Leverkusen's 21 (4), with 33% of the ball against 67%. On expected goals it was 1.1 to 2.0, so Bayer Leverkusen created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in SV ELVERSBERG vs Bayer Leverkusen?
SV ELVERSBERG 3–2 Bayer Leverkusen, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the Germany: Bundesliga. Bawler's model had gone into it with SV ELVERSBERG 25%, the draw 23% and Bayer Leverkusen 52%.
What were the stats in SV ELVERSBERG vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Full-time: Possession 33%–67%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–2.0, Shots 11–21, Shots on target 6–4, Shots inside box 8–13, Big chances 2–6, Corners 4–3, Saves 2–3, Fouls 18–15, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 3–2.
Did both teams score in SV ELVERSBERG vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Yes — both SV ELVERSBERG and Bayer Leverkusen scored, finishing 3–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 62% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for SV ELVERSBERG vs Bayer Leverkusen right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Bayer Leverkusen or draw 76%, it finished SV ELVERSBERG won (25% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 62%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 83%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Bayer Leverkusen to win 52%, it finished Missed.