How it finished
Telstar and ADO Den Haag drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Telstar at 52% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 4. Telstar had 30 shots (4 on target) to ADO Den Haag's 3 (2), with 68% of the ball against 32%. Expected goals finished 2.9 to 1.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 68%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Telstar vs ADO Den Haag?
Telstar and ADO Den Haag drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Telstar at 52% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 4. Telstar had 30 shots (4 on target) to ADO Den Haag's 3 (2), with 68% of the ball against 32%. Expected goals finished 2.9 to 1.4.
What was the final score in Telstar vs ADO Den Haag?
Telstar 2–2 ADO Den Haag, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the Netherlands: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with Telstar 52%, the draw 24% and ADO Den Haag 24%.
What were the stats in Telstar vs ADO Den Haag?
Full-time: Possession 68%–32%, Expected goals (xG) 2.9–1.4, Shots 30–3, Shots on target 4–2, Shots inside box 16–3, Big chances 5–3, Corners 8–0, Saves 0–2, Fouls 8–10, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 2–1, Red cards 0–1.
Did both teams score in Telstar vs ADO Den Haag?
Yes — both Telstar and ADO Den Haag scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Telstar vs ADO Den Haag right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Telstar or draw 76%, it finished Draw (24% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 80%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Telstar to win 52%, it finished Missed.