NETHERLANDS: EredivisieFriday 14 Aug, 18:00 UTC

Telstar vSparta Rotterdam

Most likely scoreline
11
13% of the time · 2.50 goals expected
Telstar 51%Draw 27%Sparta Rotterdam 22%
Strongest call
Over 1.5 goals
85%
How we get there
TelstarstepSparta Rotterdam
1.40Base xG · rolling 26-match1.10
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.40Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.10
Most likely outcomes
Over 1.5 goals
85%
Sparta Rotterdam or draw
28%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

Telstar average 5.4 corners per game at home this season (18 competitive matches). Sparta Rotterdam average 4.4 corners per game away from home this season (18 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
9
5
2
1
1
11
13
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
4
4
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Telstar and Sparta Rotterdam — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Telstar 51% · draw 27% · Sparta Rotterdam 22%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

⚡ Full-time recap available
Telstar 13 Sparta Rotterdam
See how the model called it · call-by-call verdict · xG vs actual →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.