How it finished
Sparta Rotterdam beat Telstar 3–1. Bawler's model favoured Telstar at 51% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Sparta Rotterdam 22%. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 4. Telstar had 7 shots (1 on target) to Sparta Rotterdam's 16 (9), with 61% of the ball against 39%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 2.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam?
Sparta Rotterdam beat Telstar 3–1. Bawler's model favoured Telstar at 51% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Sparta Rotterdam 22%. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 4. Telstar had 7 shots (1 on target) to Sparta Rotterdam's 16 (9), with 61% of the ball against 39%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 2.5.
What was the final score in Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam?
Telstar 1–3 Sparta Rotterdam, played on 14 Aug 2026 in the NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with Telstar 51%, the draw 27% and Sparta Rotterdam 22%.
What were the stats in Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam?
Full-time: Possession 61%–39%, Expected goals (xG) 1.4–2.5, Shots 7–16, Shots on target 1–9, Shots inside box 4–13, Big chances 1–6, Corners 7–5, Saves 6–0, Fouls 13–17, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 1–1.
Did both teams score in Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam?
Yes — both Telstar and Sparta Rotterdam scored, finishing 1–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Telstar or draw 78%, it finished Sparta Rotterdam won (22% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 60%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 85%, it finished Landed.