Torino vs AC Milan prediction — Serie A · Sun 23 Aug · 19:45 UK

Serie A · Sun 23 Aug · 19:45 UK
Torino 29Draw 26AC Milan 45
Our call before kickoff
71%
AC Milan or draw
Landed
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–2
Both teams score (before kick-off)
57%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
54%

How it finished

AC Milan beat Torino 2–1. Bawler's model had AC Milan in front at 45% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3. Torino had 8 shots (1 on target) to AC Milan's 19 (4), with 41% of the ball against 59%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 1.6.

TorinoFull-time statsAC Milan
41%Possession59%
1.0Expected goals (xG)1.6
8Shots19
1Shots on target4
7Shots inside box19
2Big chances1
2Corners4
2Saves0
10Fouls9
2Offsides0
0Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callAC Milan or draw 71%AC Milan won (45% called)
Total goals2.93
Both teams to score57%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 78%Landed
Second pickOver 2.5 goals 54%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

TorinoAC Milan
1.3
Goals+0.3
1.6

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
AC Milan to score80%
Over 1.5 goals78%
Torino to score72%
Under 3.5 goals68%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)-0.3 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Torino 2 · Draws 1 · AC Milan 2
AC Milan in their league tableTop quarter

Head to head

Mar 2026Milan 3–2 Torino
Dec 2025Torino 2–3 Milan
Feb 2025Torino 2–1 Milan
Aug 2024Milan 2–2 Torino
May 2024Torino 3–1 Milan
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Torino vs AC Milan?

AC Milan beat Torino 2–1. Bawler's model had AC Milan in front at 45% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3. Torino had 8 shots (1 on target) to AC Milan's 19 (4), with 41% of the ball against 59%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 1.6.

What was the final score in Torino vs AC Milan?

Torino 1–2 AC Milan, played on 23 Aug 2026 in the ITALY: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with Torino 29%, the draw 26% and AC Milan 45%.

What were the stats in Torino vs AC Milan?

Full-time: Possession 41%–59%, Expected goals (xG) 1.0–1.6, Shots 8–19, Shots on target 1–4, Shots inside box 7–19, Big chances 2–1, Corners 2–4, Saves 2–0, Fouls 10–9, Offsides 2–0, Yellow cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in Torino vs AC Milan?

Yes — both Torino and AC Milan scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Torino vs AC Milan right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said AC Milan or draw 71%, it finished AC Milan won (45% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 78%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 54%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Serie A table →
All fixtures & results →Torino form →AC Milan form →