How it finished
Toronto FC beat CF Montréal 2–1. Bawler's model had Toronto FC in front at 42% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 3. Toronto FC had 14 shots (5 on target) to CF Montréal's 16 (7), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 1.6.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 60%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Toronto FC vs CF Montréal?
Toronto FC beat CF Montréal 2–1. Bawler's model had Toronto FC in front at 42% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 3. Toronto FC had 14 shots (5 on target) to CF Montréal's 16 (7), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 1.6.
What was the final score in Toronto FC vs CF Montréal?
Toronto FC 2–1 CF Montréal, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Toronto FC 42%, the draw 27% and CF Montréal 31%.
What were the stats in Toronto FC vs CF Montréal?
Full-time: Possession 52%–48%, Expected goals (xG) 1.7–1.6, Shots 14–16, Shots on target 5–7, Shots inside box 12–12, Big chances 4–2, Corners 8–6, Saves 6–3, Fouls 9–17, Offsides 4–2, Yellow cards 1–3.
Did both teams score in Toronto FC vs CF Montréal?
Yes — both Toronto FC and CF Montréal scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Toronto FC vs CF Montréal right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Toronto FC or draw 69%, it finished Toronto FC won (42% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 76%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 52%, it finished Landed.