How it finished
Union St.-Gilloise and OH Leuven drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Union St.-Gilloise at 78% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 15%. It forecast 3.3 goals; only 2 were scored. Union St.-Gilloise had 18 shots (2 on target) to OH Leuven's 13 (1), with 63% of the ball against 37%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 1.3.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 77%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Union St.-Gilloise vs OH Leuven?
Union St.-Gilloise and OH Leuven drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Union St.-Gilloise at 78% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 15%. It forecast 3.3 goals; only 2 were scored. Union St.-Gilloise had 18 shots (2 on target) to OH Leuven's 13 (1), with 63% of the ball against 37%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 1.3.
What was the final score in Union St.-Gilloise vs OH Leuven?
Union St.-Gilloise 1–1 OH Leuven, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the Belgium: Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Union St.-Gilloise 78%, the draw 15% and OH Leuven 7%.
What were the stats in Union St.-Gilloise vs OH Leuven?
Full-time: Possession 63%–37%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–1.3, Shots 18–13, Shots on target 2–1, Shots inside box 12–9, Big chances 0–1, Corners 9–4, Saves 0–2, Fouls 11–11, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 0–3, Red cards 1–0.
Did both teams score in Union St.-Gilloise vs OH Leuven?
Yes — both Union St.-Gilloise and OH Leuven scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 47% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Union St.-Gilloise vs OH Leuven right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Union St.-Gilloise to win 78%, it finished Draw (15% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 47%, it finished Yes.