KAA Gent beat Zulte-Waregem 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Zulte-Waregem at 39% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave KAA Gent 34%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. Zulte-Waregem had 13 shots (3 on target) to KAA Gent's 12 (7), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 1.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 71%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
KAA Gent beat Zulte-Waregem 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Zulte-Waregem at 39% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave KAA Gent 34%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. Zulte-Waregem had 13 shots (3 on target) to KAA Gent's 12 (7), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 1.5.
Zulte-Waregem 0–2 KAA Gent, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the Belgium: Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Zulte-Waregem 39%, the draw 27% and KAA Gent 34%.
Full-time: Possession 47%–53%, Expected goals (xG) 0.7–1.5, Shots 13–12, Shots on target 3–7, Shots inside box 8–7, Big chances 0–3, Corners 3–4, Saves 5–4, Fouls 10–10, Offsides 1–3, Yellow cards 0–1, Red cards 1–0.
No. It finished 0–2, so Zulte-Waregem failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Zulte-Waregem or draw 66%, it finished KAA Gent won (34% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 77%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 53%, it finished Missed.