Zulte-Waregem vs KAA Gent prediction — Belgian Pro League · Sat 10 Oct · 19:45 UK

Belgian Pro League · Sat 10 Oct · 19:45 UK
Zulte-Waregem 39Draw 27KAA Gent 34
Our call before kickoff
66%
Zulte-Waregem or draw
Missed
2.8
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–2
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
71%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
57%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
53%

How it finished

KAA Gent beat Zulte-Waregem 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Zulte-Waregem at 39% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave KAA Gent 34%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. Zulte-Waregem had 13 shots (3 on target) to KAA Gent's 12 (7), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 1.5.

Zulte-WaregemFull-time statsKAA Gent
47%Possession53%
0.7Expected goals (xG)1.5
13Shots12
3Shots on target7
8Shots inside box7
0Big chances3
3Corners4
5Saves4
10Fouls10
1Offsides3
0Yellow cards1
1Red cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callZulte-Waregem or draw 66%KAA Gent won (34% called)
Total goals2.82
Both teams to score57%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 77%Landed
Second pickOver 2.5 goals 53%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Zulte-WaregemKAA Gent
1.5
Goals+0.1
1.3
8.8
Shots+4.0
12.8
2.6
On target+2.8
5.4
3.1
Corners+1.6
4.8
Zulte-WaregemKAA Gent
0.5
Goals
0.4
4.0
Shots+1.8
5.9
1.2
On target+1.2
2.4
1.5
Corners+0.8
2.2
Zulte-WaregemKAA Gent
1.0
Goals+0.1
0.9
4.8
Shots+2.2
7.0
1.4
On target+1.5
3.0
1.7
Corners+0.9
2.5

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals77%
Zulte-Waregem to score77%
KAA Gent to score74%
Under 3.5 goals69%

First half — what we expected

Zulte-Waregem
47%
to score before half-time
KAA Gent
45%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 71%

Zulte-WaregemKAA Gent
4.01st-half shots5.9
1.21st-half shots on target2.4
1.51st-half corners2.2

First-half chances

37%Chance of 5+ shots63%
16%Chance of 7+ shots37%
65%Chance of 1+ shots on target88%
14%Chance of 3+ shots on target42%
71%Chance of 1+ corners85%
20%Chance of 3+ corners37%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Zulte-Waregem4.04.8
Shots · KAA Gent5.97.0
Shots on target · Zulte-Waregem1.21.4
Shots on target · KAA Gent2.43.0
Corners · Zulte-Waregem1.51.7
Corners · KAA Gent2.22.5
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Zulte-Waregem form (last 6)W D W L L L
Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.1 / match
KAA Gent in their league tableTop quarter
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Zulte-Waregem vs KAA Gent?

KAA Gent beat Zulte-Waregem 2–0. Bawler's model favoured Zulte-Waregem at 39% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave KAA Gent 34%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. Zulte-Waregem had 13 shots (3 on target) to KAA Gent's 12 (7), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 1.5.

What was the final score in Zulte-Waregem vs KAA Gent?

Zulte-Waregem 0–2 KAA Gent, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the Belgium: Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Zulte-Waregem 39%, the draw 27% and KAA Gent 34%.

What were the stats in Zulte-Waregem vs KAA Gent?

Full-time: Possession 47%–53%, Expected goals (xG) 0.7–1.5, Shots 13–12, Shots on target 3–7, Shots inside box 8–7, Big chances 0–3, Corners 3–4, Saves 5–4, Fouls 10–10, Offsides 1–3, Yellow cards 0–1, Red cards 1–0.

Did both teams score in Zulte-Waregem vs KAA Gent?

No. It finished 0–2, so Zulte-Waregem failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Zulte-Waregem vs KAA Gent right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Zulte-Waregem or draw 66%, it finished KAA Gent won (34% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 77%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 53%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

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All fixtures & results →Zulte-Waregem form →KAA Gent form →