Bawler / ENGLAND: Championship / Hull
Team profile

Hull Prediction

Per-game numbers from 49 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
11.1
a game
14.7 faced
On target
4.1
a game
4.6 faced
Goals
1.5 – 1.4
scored – conceded
a game, 49 matches
Next match
15%
Hull win chance
vs Manchester United · Sat 22 Aug 11:30

Hull prediction: for Hull's next match — Hull vs Manchester United on Saturday 22 Aug, 11:30 UTC — Bawler's model makes it Manchester United are favoured (61%).

Hull are vulnerable at the back, conceding 1.67 expected goals a game against a Championship average of 1.28. They are unbeaten across their last 5 settled matches. Next up is Manchester United, where the model has them as underdogs at 15%.

Hull in numbers

49 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.5
Goals · per game
let in 1.4
Home 1.4Away 1.5
4.4
Corners · per game
give up 5.9
Home 4.2Away 4.6
11.1
Shots · per game
faced 14.7
Home 11.2Away 11.0
4.1
On target · per game
faced 4.6
Home 3.8Away 4.3
Last 6 games
23 May
1-0
vs Middlesbrough
1-3
11 May
2-0
@ Millwall
8-6
08 May
0-0
vs Millwall
0-5
02 May
2-1
vs Norwich
1-7
25 Apr
1-2
@ Charlton
11-5
21 Apr
2-2
@ Leicester
8-9

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Next match

Home vs Manchester United · Saturday 22 Aug, 11:30 UTC

Win
15%
Hull
Draw
24%
Loss
61%
Opponent
Full match preview

Attack vs defence

How Hull compare with the ENGLAND: Championship average, per match.

Goals for
1.32
Above average
Goals against
1.67
Leakier than most
Record
4W 4D 0L
8 settled
Real goals
1.3 – 0.5
For / against, per match
Scored1.32
Conceded1.67

The grey line on each bar is the ENGLAND: Championship average (1.27 scored, 1.28 conceded).

What the data says
Leaky defensively
Conceding 1.67 xG per match · +0.40 vs league average of 1.28.
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 71% of the time on Hull fixtures (5/7).

How Bawler has done on Hull

63%
of high-confidence calls correct — 5 of 8
Goals (Over/Under)71%5/7

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Later fixtures

Tue 25 Aug@ Stoke City

Recent matches (last 8)

Sat 23 Mayvs Middlesbrough
High confidence: X2
Mon 11 May@ Millwall
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Fri 08 Mayvs Millwall
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sat 02 Mayvs Norwich
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sat 18 Aprvs Birmingham
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Mon 06 Aprvs Coventry
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Fri 03 Apr@ Oxford Utd
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sat 21 Marvs Sheffield Wed
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals

FPL assets at this club (2026/27 projections)

McBurnieMcBurnieFWD · £5.5m · 1.4% owned2.4 pts
AjayiAjayiDEF · £4.0m · 0.9% owned2.1 pts
SlaterSlaterMID · £4.5m · 2.3% owned2.1 pts
EganEganDEF · £4.0m · 1.9% owned2.1 pts
GilesGilesDEF · £4.0m · 0.8% owned2.0 pts
Next 5:MUN (H)COV (A)AVL (H)CHE (A)NEW (A)

Full predicted points table → · Fixture difficulty matrix →

More on Hull and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly