How it finished
Stoke City and Hull City drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Stoke City at 39% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. Stoke City had 10 shots (4 on target) to Hull City's 18 (6), with 44% of the ball against 56%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 1.9.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 77%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Stoke City vs Hull City?
Stoke City and Hull City drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Stoke City at 39% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 27%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. Stoke City had 10 shots (4 on target) to Hull City's 18 (6), with 44% of the ball against 56%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 1.9.
What was the final score in Stoke City vs Hull City?
Stoke City 1–1 Hull City, played on 25 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: EFL Cup. Bawler's model had gone into it with Stoke City 39%, the draw 27% and Hull City 34%.
What were the stats in Stoke City vs Hull City?
Full-time: Possession 44%–56%, Expected goals (xG) 0.9–1.9, Shots 10–18, Shots on target 4–6, Shots inside box 9–12, Big chances 2–2, Corners 1–4, Saves 5–3, Fouls 12–5, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 1–1.
Did both teams score in Stoke City vs Hull City?
Yes — both Stoke City and Hull City scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Stoke City vs Hull City right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Stoke City or draw 66%, it finished Draw (27% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 78%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 54%, it finished Missed.