Standard Liege beat OH Leuven 2–1. Bawler's model favoured OH Leuven at 37% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Standard Liege 37%. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3. OH Leuven had 22 shots (3 on target) to Standard Liege's 5 (3), with 63% of the ball against 37%. On expected goals it was 1.9 to 1.4, so OH Leuven created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 80%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Standard Liege beat OH Leuven 2–1. Bawler's model favoured OH Leuven at 37% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Standard Liege 37%. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3. OH Leuven had 22 shots (3 on target) to Standard Liege's 5 (3), with 63% of the ball against 37%. On expected goals it was 1.9 to 1.4, so OH Leuven created the better chances and still lost the game.
OH Leuven 1–2 Standard Liege, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the Belgium: Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with OH Leuven 37%, the draw 26% and Standard Liege 37%.
Full-time: Possession 63%–37%, Expected goals (xG) 1.9–1.4, Shots 22–5, Shots on target 3–3, Shots inside box 16–3, Big chances 4–2, Corners 6–3, Saves 1–2, Fouls 7–8, Offsides 3–5, Yellow cards 2–2.
Yes — both OH Leuven and Standard Liege scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said OH Leuven or draw 63%, it finished Standard Liege won (37% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 59%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 79%, it finished Landed.