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Bawler / Belgium: Pro League / Racing Genk

Racing Genk

Belgium: Pro League

Racing Genk operate as a moderately attacking side with an xG profile that leans slightly positive—1.97 scored against 1.58 conceded suggests clinical finishing paired with a porous defence. Recent form has stalled into draws, with just one win from three settled fixtures, indicating inconsistency in converting chances when it matters. With no upcoming fixtures in the immediate window, the focus remains on understanding their underlying performance metrics; Bawler's model has captured only one of three banker opportunities on Genk matches, suggesting the team's volatility requires careful fixture selection rather than blind backing.

> Attack vs Defence (xG per match)
Goals scored (xG)1.97+0.22 vs league
Goals conceded (xG)1.650.04 vs league
◇ = Belgium: Pro League average. Lower xG conceded is better.

How to read this: the green bar shows the average goals Racing Genk were expected to score per match (their xG output). The red bar shows what opponents are expected to score against them. The diamond on each bar marks the Belgium: Pro League average — if the bar extends past the diamond, Racing Genk are above average there.

> xG performance · last 5 matches
0123vs KVC Westerlo: actual 3, xG 2.14@ Standard Liege: actual 0, xG 1.78vs Antwerp: actual 0, xG 1.99@ OH Leuven: actual 2, xG 1.96@ KAA Gent: actual 1, xG 2.00KVC We@StandaAntwer@OH Leu@KAA Ge
Goals scoredModel xGAggregate -3.9 goals vs xG (-0.77/game)

How to read this: the solid line is the goals Racing Genk actually scored each match. The dashed line is the goals the model expected them to score (xG). When the solid line is above the dashed, they overperformed — they finished better than the chances they created suggested. When it's below, they underperformed. Persistent underperformance often regresses; a one-off gap usually doesn't.

> What the data says
Strong in attack
Averaging 1.97 xG per match · +0.22 above the Belgium: Pro League average of 1.75.
> Form · last 5
Overall: 2W / 3D / 0L · Avg goals 1.2 for, 0.2 against

How to read this: each tile is one settled match, most recent first. Green = win, amber = draw, red = loss. Numbers show the actual scoreline from Racing Genk's perspective. Tap a tile to see Bawler's full prediction for that match.

Matches Covered
5
5 settled
Avg xG Scored
1.97
per match
Avg xG Conceded
1.65
per match
Banker Hit Rate
60%
3/5 picks
> Bawler's Banker picks on Racing Genk matches
60%
hit rate over 5 picks

When Bawler issues a Banker pick on a Racing Genk fixture, the model lands 3 out of 5 (60%). Every pick is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

> Recent matches (last 5)

> More from Bawler