Bawler / Belgium: Pro League / Racing Genk
Team profile

Racing Genk Prediction

Per-game numbers from 7 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
19.2
a game
12.7 faced
On target
6.2
a game
3.5 faced
Goals
1.4 – 0.7
scored – conceded
a game, 7 matches
Next match
29%
Racing Genk win chance
at Antwerp · Sat 22 Aug 18:45

Racing Genk prediction: for Racing Genk's next match — Antwerp vs Racing Genk on Saturday 22 Aug, 18:45 UTC — Bawler's model makes it a draw looks most likely (36%).

Racing Genk carry a strong attacking profile, creating 1.97 expected goals per game against a Pro League average of 1.57. Their finishing has lagged the chances they make — 1.43 goals a game against 1.97 expected. Next up is a trip to Antwerp, where the model has them as underdogs at 29%.

Racing Genk in numbers

7 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.4
Goals · per game
let in 0.7
Home 2.0Away 1.0
6.0
Corners · per game
give up 4.2
Home 8.3Away 3.7
19.2
Shots · per game
faced 12.7
Home 24.0Away 14.3
6.2
On target · per game
faced 3.5
Home 8.0Away 4.3
Last 6 games
15 Aug
3-2
vs KVC Westerlo
8-4
09 Aug
1-2
@ Zulte-Waregem
3-6
31 May
1-1
@ KAA Gent
-
23 May
2-0
@ Leuven
4-4
19 May
0-0
vs Antwerp
11-3
16 May
0-0
@ Standard Liege
4-5

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Next match

Away vs Antwerp · Saturday 22 Aug, 18:45 UTC

Win
29%
Racing Genk
Draw
36%
Loss
35%
Antwerp
Full match preview

Attack vs defence

How Racing Genk compare with the Belgium: Pro League average, per match.

Goals for
1.97
Above average
Goals against
1.65
Leakier than most
Record
3W 3D 1L
7 settled
Real goals
1.4 – 0.7
For / against, per match
Scored1.97
Conceded1.65

The grey line on each bar is the Belgium: Pro League average (1.57 scored, 1.64 conceded).

What the data says
Strong in attack
Averaging 1.97 xG per match · +0.40 above the Belgium: Pro League average of 1.57.

How Bawler has done on Racing Genk

71%
of high-confidence calls correct — 5 of 7, well above the ~65% baseline
Goals (Over/Under)67%4/6

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 7)

Sat 15 Augvs KVC Westerlo
High confidence: Home Win
Sun 09 Aug@ Zulte-Waregem
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 31 May@ KAA Gent
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sat 23 May@ OH Leuven
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Tue 19 Mayvs Antwerp
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sat 16 May@ Standard Liege
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 10 Mayvs KVC Westerlo
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals

More on Racing Genk and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly