Orlando City SC vs Real Salt Lake prediction — MLS · Sun 23 Aug · 00:30 UK

MLS · Sun 23 Aug · 00:30 UK
Orlando City SC 45Draw 24Real Salt Lake 31
Our call before kickoff
69%
Orlando City SC or draw
Landed
3.3
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–1
Both teams score (before kick-off)
65%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
64%

How it finished

Orlando City SC beat Real Salt Lake 2–1. Bawler's model had Orlando City SC in front at 45% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 3. Orlando City SC had 11 shots (3 on target) to Real Salt Lake's 8 (3), with 61% of the ball against 39%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 0.5.

Orlando CityFull-time statsReal Salt…
61%Possession39%
1.7Expected goals (xG)0.5
11Shots8
3Shots on target3
11Shots inside box2
2Big chances2
5Corners4
2Saves1
12Fouls14
1Offsides7
1Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callOrlando City SC or draw 69%Orlando City SC won (45% called)
Total goals3.33
Both teams to score65%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 84%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Orlando City SCReal Salt Lake
1.8
Goals+0.3
1.5

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals84%
Orlando City SC to score84%
Real Salt Lake to score78%
Over 2.5 goals64%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.3 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Orlando City SC 2 · Draws 1 · Real Salt Lake 2
Real Salt Lake in their league tableLower half

Head to head

Jul 2023Real Salt Lake 4–0 Orlando City
Feb 2020Orlando City 0–0 Real Salt Lake
Apr 2019Real Salt Lake 2–1 Orlando City
May 2018Orlando City 3–1 Real Salt Lake
Jul 2017Real Salt Lake 0–1 Orlando City
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Orlando City SC vs Real Salt Lake?

Orlando City SC beat Real Salt Lake 2–1. Bawler's model had Orlando City SC in front at 45% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 3. Orlando City SC had 11 shots (3 on target) to Real Salt Lake's 8 (3), with 61% of the ball against 39%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 0.5.

What was the final score in Orlando City SC vs Real Salt Lake?

Orlando City SC 2–1 Real Salt Lake, played on 23 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Orlando City SC 45%, the draw 24% and Real Salt Lake 31%.

What were the stats in Orlando City SC vs Real Salt Lake?

Full-time: Possession 61%–39%, Expected goals (xG) 1.7–0.5, Shots 11–8, Shots on target 3–3, Shots inside box 11–2, Big chances 2–2, Corners 5–4, Saves 2–1, Fouls 12–14, Offsides 1–7, Yellow cards 1–3.

Did both teams score in Orlando City SC vs Real Salt Lake?

Yes — both Orlando City SC and Real Salt Lake scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 65% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Orlando City SC vs Real Salt Lake right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Orlando City SC or draw 69%, it finished Orlando City SC won (45% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 65%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 84%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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All fixtures & results →Orlando City SC form →Real Salt Lake form →