Orlando City SC beat Real Salt Lake 2–1. Bawler's model had Orlando City SC in front at 45% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 3. Orlando City SC had 11 shots (3 on target) to Real Salt Lake's 8 (3), with 61% of the ball against 39%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 0.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Orlando City SC beat Real Salt Lake 2–1. Bawler's model had Orlando City SC in front at 45% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 3. Orlando City SC had 11 shots (3 on target) to Real Salt Lake's 8 (3), with 61% of the ball against 39%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 0.5.
Orlando City SC 2–1 Real Salt Lake, played on 23 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Orlando City SC 45%, the draw 24% and Real Salt Lake 31%.
Full-time: Possession 61%–39%, Expected goals (xG) 1.7–0.5, Shots 11–8, Shots on target 3–3, Shots inside box 11–2, Big chances 2–2, Corners 5–4, Saves 2–1, Fouls 12–14, Offsides 1–7, Yellow cards 1–3.
Yes — both Orlando City SC and Real Salt Lake scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 65% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Orlando City SC or draw 69%, it finished Orlando City SC won (45% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 65%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 84%, it finished Landed.