How it finished
Sporting Kansas City and St. Louis CITY SC drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured St. Louis CITY SC at 53% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 2 were scored. Sporting Kansas City had 18 shots (3 on target) to St. Louis CITY SC's 7 (2), with 48% of the ball against 52%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 0.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Sporting Kansas City vs St. Louis CITY SC?
Sporting Kansas City and St. Louis CITY SC drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured St. Louis CITY SC at 53% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 2 were scored. Sporting Kansas City had 18 shots (3 on target) to St. Louis CITY SC's 7 (2), with 48% of the ball against 52%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 0.5.
What was the final score in Sporting Kansas City vs St. Louis CITY SC?
Sporting Kansas City 1–1 St. Louis CITY SC, played on 20 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Sporting Kansas City 23%, the draw 24% and St. Louis CITY SC 53%.
What were the stats in Sporting Kansas City vs St. Louis CITY SC?
Full-time: Possession 48%–52%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–0.5, Shots 18–7, Shots on target 3–2, Shots inside box 11–2, Big chances 3–1, Corners 9–2, Saves 1–2, Fouls 12–11, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 2–2.
Did both teams score in Sporting Kansas City vs St. Louis CITY SC?
Yes — both Sporting Kansas City and St. Louis CITY SC scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Sporting Kansas City vs St. Louis CITY SC right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said St. Louis CITY SC or draw 77%, it finished Draw (24% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 81%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said St. Louis CITY SC to win 53%, it finished Missed.