1. FC Union Berlin vs Eintracht Frankfurt prediction — Bundesliga · Sat 29 Aug · 14:30 UK

Bundesliga · Sat 29 Aug · 14:30 UK
1. FC Union Berlin 46Draw 25Eintracht Frankfurt 28
Our call before kickoff
72%
1. FC Union Berlin or draw
Landed
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 3–3
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
74%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
58%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
56%

How it finished

1. FC Union Berlin and Eintracht Frankfurt drew 3–3. Bawler's model favoured 1. FC Union Berlin at 46% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 6. 1. FC Union Berlin had 19 shots (10 on target) to Eintracht Frankfurt's 12 (3), with 48% of the ball against 52%. Expected goals finished 2.0 to 1.4.

1. Union…Full-time statsEintracht…
48%Possession52%
2.0Expected goals (xG)1.4
19Shots12
10Shots on target3
15Shots inside box7
3Big chances4
5Corners2
0Saves8
11Fouls10
2Offsides2
2Yellow cards4
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our call1. FC Union Berlin or draw 72%Draw (25% called)
Total goals2.96
Both teams to score58%Yes

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

1. FC Union BerlinEintracht Frankfurt
1.7
Goals+0.4
1.3
16.1
Shots+3.5
12.5
6.0
On target+1.2
4.8
6.1
Corners+1.4
4.7
1. FC Union BerlinEintracht Frankfurt
0.5
Goals
0.5
7.5
Shots+2.1
5.4
2.7
On target+0.5
2.1
2.9
Corners+0.7
2.2
1. FC Union BerlinEintracht Frankfurt
1.2
Goals+0.4
0.8
8.6
Shots+1.5
7.2
3.4
On target+0.7
2.7
3.2
Corners+0.7
2.5

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
1. FC Union Berlin to score81%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Eintracht Frankfurt to score72%
Under 3.5 goals66%

First half — what we expected

1. FC Union Berlin
48%
to score before half-time
Eintracht Frankfurt
51%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 74%

1. FC Union BerlinEintracht Frankfurt
7.51st-half shots5.4
2.71st-half shots on target2.1
2.91st-half corners2.2

First-half chances

69%Chance of 6+ shots43%
45%Chance of 8+ shots21%
70%Chance of 2+ shots on target59%
28%Chance of 4+ shots on target19%
73%Chance of 2+ corners60%
33%Chance of 4+ corners20%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · 1. FC Union Berlin7.58.6
Shots · Eintracht Frankfurt5.47.2
Shots on target · 1. FC Union Berlin2.73.4
Shots on target · Eintracht Frankfurt2.12.7
Corners · 1. FC Union Berlin2.93.2
Corners · Eintracht Frankfurt2.22.5
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.4 / match
Eintracht Frankfurt in their league tableBottom quarter
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won 1. FC Union Berlin vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

1. FC Union Berlin and Eintracht Frankfurt drew 3–3. Bawler's model favoured 1. FC Union Berlin at 46% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 6. 1. FC Union Berlin had 19 shots (10 on target) to Eintracht Frankfurt's 12 (3), with 48% of the ball against 52%. Expected goals finished 2.0 to 1.4.

What was the final score in 1. FC Union Berlin vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

1. FC Union Berlin 3–3 Eintracht Frankfurt, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the Germany: Bundesliga. Bawler's model had gone into it with 1. FC Union Berlin 46%, the draw 25% and Eintracht Frankfurt 28%.

What were the stats in 1. FC Union Berlin vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

Full-time: Possession 48%–52%, Expected goals (xG) 2.0–1.4, Shots 19–12, Shots on target 10–3, Shots inside box 15–7, Big chances 3–4, Corners 5–2, Saves 0–8, Fouls 11–10, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 2–4.

Did both teams score in 1. FC Union Berlin vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

Yes — both 1. FC Union Berlin and Eintracht Frankfurt scored, finishing 3–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for 1. FC Union Berlin vs Eintracht Frankfurt right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said 1. FC Union Berlin or draw 72%, it finished Draw (25% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished Yes.

Around this fixture

Bundesliga table →
All fixtures & results →1. FC Union Berlin form →Eintracht Frankfurt form →