1. FC Union Berlin and Eintracht Frankfurt drew 3–3. Bawler's model favoured 1. FC Union Berlin at 46% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 6. 1. FC Union Berlin had 19 shots (10 on target) to Eintracht Frankfurt's 12 (3), with 48% of the ball against 52%. Expected goals finished 2.0 to 1.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 74%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
1. FC Union Berlin and Eintracht Frankfurt drew 3–3. Bawler's model favoured 1. FC Union Berlin at 46% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 6. 1. FC Union Berlin had 19 shots (10 on target) to Eintracht Frankfurt's 12 (3), with 48% of the ball against 52%. Expected goals finished 2.0 to 1.4.
1. FC Union Berlin 3–3 Eintracht Frankfurt, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the Germany: Bundesliga. Bawler's model had gone into it with 1. FC Union Berlin 46%, the draw 25% and Eintracht Frankfurt 28%.
Full-time: Possession 48%–52%, Expected goals (xG) 2.0–1.4, Shots 19–12, Shots on target 10–3, Shots inside box 15–7, Big chances 3–4, Corners 5–2, Saves 0–8, Fouls 11–10, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 2–4.
Yes — both 1. FC Union Berlin and Eintracht Frankfurt scored, finishing 3–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said 1. FC Union Berlin or draw 72%, it finished Draw (25% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished Yes.