How it finished
1. FC Union Berlin beat SV Elversberg 1–0. Bawler's model had 1. FC Union Berlin in front at 43% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals; only 1 was scored. 1. FC Union Berlin had 19 shots (7 on target) to SV Elversberg's 7 (2), with 43% of the ball against 57%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 0.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 73%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won 1. FC Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg?
1. FC Union Berlin beat SV Elversberg 1–0. Bawler's model had 1. FC Union Berlin in front at 43% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals; only 1 was scored. 1. FC Union Berlin had 19 shots (7 on target) to SV Elversberg's 7 (2), with 43% of the ball against 57%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 0.2.
What was the final score in 1. FC Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg?
1. FC Union Berlin 1–0 SV Elversberg, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the Germany: Bundesliga. Bawler's model had gone into it with 1. FC Union Berlin 43%, the draw 24% and SV Elversberg 32%.
What were the stats in 1. FC Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg?
Full-time: Possession 43%–57%, Expected goals (xG) 1.5–0.2, Shots 19–7, Shots on target 7–2, Shots inside box 13–6, Big chances 0–0, Corners 7–3, Saves 2–5, Fouls 14–9, Offsides 3–7, Yellow cards 2–1.
Did both teams score in 1. FC Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg?
No. It finished 1–0, so SV Elversberg failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 64% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for 1. FC Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said 1. FC Union Berlin or draw 68%, it finished 1. FC Union Berlin won (43% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 64%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 83%, it finished Missed.