How it finished
Académico de Viseu beat Vitória de Guimaraes 2–1. Bawler's model had Académico de Viseu in front at 43% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 3. Académico de Viseu had 11 shots (4 on target) to Vitória de Guimaraes' 22 (7), with 46% of the ball against 54%. On expected goals it was 1.8 to 2.1, so Vitória de Guimaraes created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 70%
Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Académico de Viseu vs Vitória de Guimaraes?
Académico de Viseu beat Vitória de Guimaraes 2–1. Bawler's model had Académico de Viseu in front at 43% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 3. Académico de Viseu had 11 shots (4 on target) to Vitória de Guimaraes' 22 (7), with 46% of the ball against 54%. On expected goals it was 1.8 to 2.1, so Vitória de Guimaraes created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Académico de Viseu vs Vitória de Guimaraes?
Académico de Viseu 2–1 Vitória de Guimaraes, played on 12 Sept 2026 in the Portugal: Primeira Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Académico de Viseu 43%, the draw 27% and Vitória de Guimaraes 30%.
What were the stats in Académico de Viseu vs Vitória de Guimaraes?
Full-time: Possession 46%–54%, Expected goals (xG) 1.8–2.1, Shots 11–22, Shots on target 4–7, Shots inside box 9–12, Big chances 2–3, Corners 4–8, Saves 6–2, Fouls 14–11, Offsides 3–1, Yellow cards 4–3, Red cards 0–1.
Did both teams score in Académico de Viseu vs Vitória de Guimaraes?
Yes — both Académico de Viseu and Vitória de Guimaraes scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Académico de Viseu vs Vitória de Guimaraes right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Académico de Viseu or draw 70%, it finished Académico de Viseu won (43% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 76%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 51%, it finished Landed.