How it finished
Angers beat AJ Auxerre 3–1. Bawler's model favoured AJ Auxerre at 48% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Angers 24%. It forecast 2.5 goals; the match produced 4. AJ Auxerre had 19 shots (7 on target) to Angers' 15 (6), with 60% of the ball against 40%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 1.6.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 54%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won AJ Auxerre vs Angers?
Angers beat AJ Auxerre 3–1. Bawler's model favoured AJ Auxerre at 48% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Angers 24%. It forecast 2.5 goals; the match produced 4. AJ Auxerre had 19 shots (7 on target) to Angers' 15 (6), with 60% of the ball against 40%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 1.6.
What was the final score in AJ Auxerre vs Angers?
AJ Auxerre 1–3 Angers, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the France: Ligue 1. Bawler's model had gone into it with AJ Auxerre 48%, the draw 28% and Angers 24%.
What were the stats in AJ Auxerre vs Angers?
Full-time: Possession 60%–40%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–1.6, Shots 19–15, Shots on target 7–6, Shots inside box 9–11, Big chances 3–2, Corners 7–10, Saves 3–7, Fouls 16–6, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 3–2.
Did both teams score in AJ Auxerre vs Angers?
Yes — both AJ Auxerre and Angers scored, finishing 1–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 49% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for AJ Auxerre vs Angers right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said AJ Auxerre or draw 76%, it finished Angers won (24% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 49%, it finished Yes; Second pick — we said Under 2.5 goals 55%, it finished Missed.