How it finished
AJ Auxerre beat Brest 2–1. Bawler's model had AJ Auxerre in front at 37% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3. AJ Auxerre had 11 shots (4 on target) to Brest's 8 (2), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 0.3.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 72%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won AJ Auxerre vs Brest?
AJ Auxerre beat Brest 2–1. Bawler's model had AJ Auxerre in front at 37% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3. AJ Auxerre had 11 shots (4 on target) to Brest's 8 (2), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 0.3.
What was the final score in AJ Auxerre vs Brest?
AJ Auxerre 2–1 Brest, played on 20 Sept 2026 in the France: Ligue 1. Bawler's model had gone into it with AJ Auxerre 37%, the draw 27% and Brest 37%.
What were the stats in AJ Auxerre vs Brest?
Full-time: Possession 52%–48%, Expected goals (xG) 0.7–0.3, Shots 11–8, Shots on target 4–2, Shots inside box 3–3, Big chances 1–0, Corners 8–3, Saves 1–3, Fouls 19–13, Offsides 4–1, Yellow cards 1–1.
Did both teams score in AJ Auxerre vs Brest?
Yes — both AJ Auxerre and Brest scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for AJ Auxerre vs Brest right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said AJ Auxerre or draw 63%, it finished AJ Auxerre won (37% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 78%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 54%, it finished Landed.