How it finished
Al Ahli beat Al Fateh 4–0. Bawler's model had Al Ahli in front at 63% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 4. Al Fateh had 5 shots (1 on target) to Al Ahli's 17 (11), with 38% of the ball against 62%. Expected goals finished 0.4 to 2.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 74%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Al Fateh vs Al Ahli?
Al Ahli beat Al Fateh 4–0. Bawler's model had Al Ahli in front at 63% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 4. Al Fateh had 5 shots (1 on target) to Al Ahli's 17 (11), with 38% of the ball against 62%. Expected goals finished 0.4 to 2.2.
What was the final score in Al Fateh vs Al Ahli?
Al Fateh 0–4 Al Ahli, played on 09 Oct 2026 in the Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Al Fateh 16%, the draw 21% and Al Ahli 63%.
What were the stats in Al Fateh vs Al Ahli?
Full-time: Possession 38%–62%, Expected goals (xG) 0.4–2.2, Shots 5–17, Shots on target 1–11, Shots inside box 4–11, Big chances 1–6, Corners 3–4, Saves 7–1, Fouls 20–17, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 4–1.
Did both teams score in Al Fateh vs Al Ahli?
No. It finished 0–4, so Al Fateh failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Al Fateh vs Al Ahli right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Al Ahli to win 63%, it finished Al Ahli won (63% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished No.