How it finished
AS Monaco and Toulouse drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured AS Monaco at 50% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 4. AS Monaco had 16 shots (4 on target) to Toulouse's 9 (4), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 1.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 76%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won AS Monaco vs Toulouse?
AS Monaco and Toulouse drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured AS Monaco at 50% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 4. AS Monaco had 16 shots (4 on target) to Toulouse's 9 (4), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 1.4.
What was the final score in AS Monaco vs Toulouse?
AS Monaco 2–2 Toulouse, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the France: Ligue 1. Bawler's model had gone into it with AS Monaco 50%, the draw 24% and Toulouse 26%.
What were the stats in AS Monaco vs Toulouse?
Full-time: Possession 58%–42%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–1.4, Shots 16–9, Shots on target 4–4, Shots inside box 11–5, Big chances 1–2, Corners 4–4, Saves 2–2, Fouls 10–16, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 2–2.
Did both teams score in AS Monaco vs Toulouse?
Yes — both AS Monaco and Toulouse scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for AS Monaco vs Toulouse right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said AS Monaco or draw 74%, it finished Draw (24% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 60%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 81%, it finished Landed.