AS Roma and Internazionale drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured AS Roma at 37% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 4. AS Roma had 18 shots (4 on target) to Internazionale's 16 (5), with 49% of the ball against 51%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 2.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 71%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
AS Roma and Internazionale drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured AS Roma at 37% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 4. AS Roma had 18 shots (4 on target) to Internazionale's 16 (5), with 49% of the ball against 51%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 2.4.
AS Roma 2–2 Internazionale, played on 19 Sept 2026 in the Italy: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with AS Roma 37%, the draw 26% and Internazionale 37%.
Full-time: Possession 49%–51%, Expected goals (xG) 1.7–2.4, Shots 18–16, Shots on target 4–5, Shots inside box 12–11, Big chances 3–5, Corners 4–2, Saves 3–2, Fouls 13–7, Offsides 3–3, Yellow cards 3–3.
Yes — both AS Roma and Internazionale scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said AS Roma or draw 63%, it finished Draw (26% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 60%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 80%, it finished Landed.