How it finished
Atlético Madrid and Villarreal drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Atlético Madrid at 48% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 4. Atlético Madrid had 19 shots (4 on target) to Villarreal's 13 (6), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 3.6.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Atlético Madrid vs Villarreal?
Atlético Madrid and Villarreal drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Atlético Madrid at 48% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 4. Atlético Madrid had 19 shots (4 on target) to Villarreal's 13 (6), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 3.6.
What was the final score in Atlético Madrid vs Villarreal?
Atlético Madrid 2–2 Villarreal, played on 23 Aug 2026 in the SPAIN: LaLiga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Atlético Madrid 48%, the draw 25% and Villarreal 27%.
What were the stats in Atlético Madrid vs Villarreal?
Full-time: Possession 52%–48%, Expected goals (xG) 0.7–3.6, Shots 19–13, Shots on target 4–6, Shots inside box 6–10, Big chances 0–6, Corners 5–3, Saves 4–2, Fouls 12–13, Offsides 3–1, Yellow cards 3–2, Red cards 1–0.
Did both teams score in Atlético Madrid vs Villarreal?
Yes — both Atlético Madrid and Villarreal scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Atlético Madrid vs Villarreal right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Atlético Madrid or draw 73%, it finished Draw (25% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 60%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 81%, it finished Landed.