How it finished
Bayern Munich beat VfB Stuttgart 5–1. Bawler's model had Bayern Munich in front at 69% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 4.1 goals; the match produced 6. Bayern Munich had 21 shots (9 on target) to VfB Stuttgart's 11 (4), with 59% of the ball against 41%. Expected goals finished 3.9 to 0.9.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 86%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Bayern Munich vs VfB Stuttgart?
Bayern Munich beat VfB Stuttgart 5–1. Bawler's model had Bayern Munich in front at 69% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 4.1 goals; the match produced 6. Bayern Munich had 21 shots (9 on target) to VfB Stuttgart's 11 (4), with 59% of the ball against 41%. Expected goals finished 3.9 to 0.9.
What was the final score in Bayern Munich vs VfB Stuttgart?
Bayern Munich 5–1 VfB Stuttgart, played on 28 Aug 2026 in the GERMANY: Bundesliga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Bayern Munich 69%, the draw 17% and VfB Stuttgart 14%.
What were the stats in Bayern Munich vs VfB Stuttgart?
Full-time: Possession 59%–41%, Expected goals (xG) 3.9–0.9, Shots 21–11, Shots on target 9–4, Shots inside box 14–7, Big chances 6–2, Corners 9–3, Saves 3–5, Fouls 10–17, Offsides 3–1, Yellow cards 1–3.
Did both teams score in Bayern Munich vs VfB Stuttgart?
Yes — both Bayern Munich and VfB Stuttgart scored, finishing 5–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 67% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Bayern Munich vs VfB Stuttgart right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Bayern Munich to win 69%, it finished Bayern Munich won (69% called); Total goals — we said 4.1, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 67%, it finished Yes.