How it finished
Benfica beat Vitória de Guimaraes 2–0. Bawler's model had Benfica in front at 69% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 2 were scored. Benfica had 23 shots (5 on target) to Vitória de Guimaraes' 8 (0), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 2.8 to 0.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 79%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Benfica vs Vitória de Guimaraes?
Benfica beat Vitória de Guimaraes 2–0. Bawler's model had Benfica in front at 69% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 2 were scored. Benfica had 23 shots (5 on target) to Vitória de Guimaraes' 8 (0), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 2.8 to 0.4.
What was the final score in Benfica vs Vitória de Guimaraes?
Benfica 2–0 Vitória de Guimaraes, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the Portugal: Primeira Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Benfica 69%, the draw 19% and Vitória de Guimaraes 12%.
What were the stats in Benfica vs Vitória de Guimaraes?
Full-time: Possession 62%–38%, Expected goals (xG) 2.8–0.4, Shots 23–8, Shots on target 5–0, Shots inside box 20–6, Big chances 5–0, Corners 11–6, Saves 0–3, Fouls 9–23, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 2–5.
Did both teams score in Benfica vs Vitória de Guimaraes?
No. It finished 2–0, so Vitória de Guimaraes failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Benfica vs Vitória de Guimaraes right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Benfica to win 69%, it finished Benfica won (69% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished No; Second pick — we said Both teams to score 50%, it finished Missed.