How it finished
Besiktas beat Kocaelispor 2–1. Bawler's model had Besiktas in front at 63% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.6 goals and the match produced 3. Besiktas had 16 shots (6 on target) to Kocaelispor's 11 (6), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 2.2 to 1.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 68%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Besiktas vs Kocaelispor?
Besiktas beat Kocaelispor 2–1. Bawler's model had Besiktas in front at 63% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.6 goals and the match produced 3. Besiktas had 16 shots (6 on target) to Kocaelispor's 11 (6), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 2.2 to 1.5.
What was the final score in Besiktas vs Kocaelispor?
Besiktas 2–1 Kocaelispor, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the Turkey: Süper Lig. Bawler's model had gone into it with Besiktas 63%, the draw 23% and Kocaelispor 14%.
What were the stats in Besiktas vs Kocaelispor?
Full-time: Possession 58%–42%, Expected goals (xG) 2.2–1.5, Shots 16–11, Shots on target 6–6, Shots inside box 9–7, Big chances 3–4, Corners 4–7, Saves 5–4, Fouls 11–13, Offsides 2–3, Yellow cards 1–2.
Did both teams score in Besiktas vs Kocaelispor?
Yes — both Besiktas and Kocaelispor scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 44% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Besiktas vs Kocaelispor right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Besiktas to win 63%, it finished Besiktas won (63% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 44%, it finished Yes.