Bologna vs Torino prediction — Serie A · Sat 19 Sept · 14:00 UK

Serie A · Sat 19 Sept · 14:00 UK
Bologna 50Draw 26Torino 24
Our call before kickoff
76%
Bologna or draw
Landed
2.7
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–1
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
55%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
53%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
51%

How it finished

Bologna and Torino drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Bologna at 50% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 2. Bologna had 11 shots (1 on target) to Torino's 14 (3), with 40% of the ball against 60%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 0.9.

BolognaFull-time statsTorino
40%Possession60%
0.7Expected goals (xG)0.9
11Shots14
1Shots on target3
8Shots inside box6
0Big chances1
1Corners6
2Saves0
18Fouls12
2Offsides0
0Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callBologna or draw 76%Draw (26% called)
Total goals2.72
Both teams to score53%Yes
Second pickOver 2.5 goals 51%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

BolognaTorino
1.7
Goals+0.6
1.1
23.0
Shots+15.1
8.0
5.7
On target+3.3
2.4
6.7
Corners+4.4
2.3
BolognaTorino
0.4
Goals+0.1
0.3
9.9
Shots+6.2
3.7
2.3
On target+1.2
1.1
3.1
Corners+2.1
1.1
BolognaTorino
1.3
Goals+0.5
0.8
13.2
Shots+8.9
4.3
3.4
On target+2.0
1.3
3.5
Corners+2.3
1.2

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Bologna to score81%
Over 1.5 goals76%
Under 3.5 goals71%
Torino to score66%

First half — what we expected

Bologna
38%
to score before half-time
Torino
28%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 55%

BolognaTorino
9.91st-half shots3.7
2.31st-half shots on target1.1
3.11st-half corners1.1

First-half chances

60%Chance of 9+ shots<10%
40%Chance of 11+ shots<10%
87%Chance of 1+ shots on target62%
40%Chance of 3+ shots on target12%
77%Chance of 2+ corners28%
38%Chance of 4+ corners<10%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Bologna9.913.2
Shots · Torino3.74.3
Shots on target · Bologna2.33.4
Shots on target · Torino1.11.3
Corners · Bologna3.13.5
Corners · Torino1.11.2
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.6 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Bologna 3 · Draws 2 · Torino 0
Torino in their league tableLower half

Head to head

Feb 2026Torino 1–2 Bologna
Oct 2025Bologna 0–0 Torino
Feb 2025Bologna 3–2 Torino
Dec 2024Torino 0–2 Bologna
May 2024Torino 0–0 Bologna
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Bologna vs Torino?

Bologna and Torino drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Bologna at 50% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 2. Bologna had 11 shots (1 on target) to Torino's 14 (3), with 40% of the ball against 60%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 0.9.

What was the final score in Bologna vs Torino?

Bologna 1–1 Torino, played on 19 Sept 2026 in the Italy: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with Bologna 50%, the draw 26% and Torino 24%.

What were the stats in Bologna vs Torino?

Full-time: Possession 40%–60%, Expected goals (xG) 0.7–0.9, Shots 11–14, Shots on target 1–3, Shots inside box 8–6, Big chances 0–1, Corners 1–6, Saves 2–0, Fouls 18–12, Offsides 2–0, Yellow cards 0–3.

Did both teams score in Bologna vs Torino?

Yes — both Bologna and Torino scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Bologna vs Torino right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Bologna or draw 76%, it finished Draw (26% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished Yes; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 51%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

Serie A table →
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