Bologna and Torino drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Bologna at 50% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 2. Bologna had 11 shots (1 on target) to Torino's 14 (3), with 40% of the ball against 60%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 0.9.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 55%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Bologna and Torino drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Bologna at 50% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 2. Bologna had 11 shots (1 on target) to Torino's 14 (3), with 40% of the ball against 60%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 0.9.
Bologna 1–1 Torino, played on 19 Sept 2026 in the Italy: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with Bologna 50%, the draw 26% and Torino 24%.
Full-time: Possession 40%–60%, Expected goals (xG) 0.7–0.9, Shots 11–14, Shots on target 1–3, Shots inside box 8–6, Big chances 0–1, Corners 1–6, Saves 2–0, Fouls 18–12, Offsides 2–0, Yellow cards 0–3.
Yes — both Bologna and Torino scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Bologna or draw 76%, it finished Draw (26% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished Yes; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 51%, it finished Missed.