How it finished
Borussia Dortmund and Werder Bremen drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Borussia Dortmund at 67% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 20%. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 4. Borussia Dortmund had 21 shots (9 on target) to Werder Bremen's 11 (4), with 72% of the ball against 28%. Expected goals finished 2.4 to 1.1.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 72%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen?
Borussia Dortmund and Werder Bremen drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Borussia Dortmund at 67% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 20%. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 4. Borussia Dortmund had 21 shots (9 on target) to Werder Bremen's 11 (4), with 72% of the ball against 28%. Expected goals finished 2.4 to 1.1.
What was the final score in Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen?
Borussia Dortmund 2–2 Werder Bremen, played on 09 Oct 2026 in the Germany: Bundesliga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Borussia Dortmund 67%, the draw 20% and Werder Bremen 13%.
What were the stats in Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen?
Full-time: Possession 72%–28%, Expected goals (xG) 2.4–1.1, Shots 21–11, Shots on target 9–4, Shots inside box 11–6, Big chances 4–2, Corners 9–3, Saves 2–7, Fouls 10–10, Offsides 1–4, Yellow cards 2–1.
Did both teams score in Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen?
Yes — both Borussia Dortmund and Werder Bremen scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 51% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Borussia Dortmund to win 67%, it finished Draw (20% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 51%, it finished Yes; Second pick — we said Both teams to score 51%, it finished Landed.