How it finished
Sporting CP beat Braga 3–1. Bawler's model had Sporting CP in front at 43% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.6 goals; the match produced 4. Braga had 15 shots (4 on target) to Sporting CP's 9 (3), with 49% of the ball against 51%. On expected goals it was 1.5 to 1.0, so Braga created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 71%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Braga vs Sporting CP?
Sporting CP beat Braga 3–1. Bawler's model had Sporting CP in front at 43% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.6 goals; the match produced 4. Braga had 15 shots (4 on target) to Sporting CP's 9 (3), with 49% of the ball against 51%. On expected goals it was 1.5 to 1.0, so Braga created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Braga vs Sporting CP?
Braga 1–3 Sporting CP, played on 09 Oct 2026 in the Portugal: Primeira Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Braga 30%, the draw 27% and Sporting CP 43%.
What were the stats in Braga vs Sporting CP?
Full-time: Possession 49%–51%, Expected goals (xG) 1.5–1.0, Shots 15–9, Shots on target 4–3, Shots inside box 11–7, Big chances 3–2, Corners 5–2, Saves 1–3, Fouls 11–10, Offsides 0–2, Yellow cards 1–1.
Did both teams score in Braga vs Sporting CP?
Yes — both Braga and Sporting CP scored, finishing 1–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Braga vs Sporting CP right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Sporting CP or draw 70%, it finished Sporting CP won (43% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 74%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Both teams to score 53%, it finished Landed.