How it finished
Brentford beat Chelsea 3–0. Bawler's model had Brentford in front at 44% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals and the match produced 3. Brentford had 13 shots (6 on target) to Chelsea's 12 (2), with 41% of the ball against 59%. Expected goals finished 2.7 to 0.9.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 76%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Brentford vs Chelsea?
Brentford beat Chelsea 3–0. Bawler's model had Brentford in front at 44% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals and the match produced 3. Brentford had 13 shots (6 on target) to Chelsea's 12 (2), with 41% of the ball against 59%. Expected goals finished 2.7 to 0.9.
What was the final score in Brentford vs Chelsea?
Brentford 3–0 Chelsea, played on 18 Sept 2026 in the England: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Brentford 44%, the draw 25% and Chelsea 31%.
What were the stats in Brentford vs Chelsea?
Full-time: Possession 41%–59%, Expected goals (xG) 2.7–0.9, Shots 13–12, Shots on target 6–2, Shots inside box 9–8, Big chances 4–1, Corners 4–12, Saves 2–3, Fouls 10–7, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 2–0.
Did both teams score in Brentford vs Chelsea?
No. It finished 3–0, so Chelsea failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 62% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Brentford vs Chelsea right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Brentford or draw 69%, it finished Brentford won (44% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 62%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 82%, it finished Landed.